Binance Naked-Shorting & Celsius Manipulation of Bitcoin Cash

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Avatar for Pantera
2 years ago

*The article was corrected (April 28th, 2021).

As a continuation of this article: "A Bitcoin Cash ($BCH) Chart Investors Should Not Miss" where I explained the similarities of the Bitcoin Cash chart between 2020-2022 and 2013-2015, today we notice an extensive decline in the price of BCH slightly more aggressive than BTC was between 2013-2015.

We observe an excessive price-stretch especially in the Binance perpetual futures market where price declines more violently than any trading pair on any exchange, perhaps due to massive speculation.

While shorting is appropriate in free markets, the practice of naked shorting is unacceptable and illegal almost everywhere since it creates an artificial supply.

While perpetual futures do not constitute naked shorting, since the underlying assets are not delivered, we still witness the exchange blocking withdrawals for Bitcoin Cash, which indicates a lack of reserves on this asset.

Selling assets that don't actually exist creates artificial supply and implies a fractional reserves method that severely undermines the price of BCH.

Exchanges Are Selling Bitcoin Cash that Does Not Exist

Naked shorting stands for the behavior when a trading room sells Bitcoin Cash that doesn't exist.

How does Binance relate to this activity?

  • It is the top exchange in the cryptocurrency field in terms of trading volumes

  • In November 2021, Binance suspended Bitcoin Cash withdrawals for days without announcing a reason. The exchange didn't control enough Bitcoin Cash to cover the sales it produced. (Withdrawals were again

Binance, in November 2021, also suspended Dogecoin withdrawals for more than ten days, however, it appears there was a technical reason with a Dogecoin update that created massive issues to the exchange (Dogecoin Core 1.14.5).

Binance stopped BCH withdrawals since it did not have access to enough Bitcoin Cash to cover the demand. It kept allowing shorts with Bitcoin Cash but could not cover these shorts with actual BCH.

To put it simply, Binance is selling Bitcoin Cash that doesn't exist, and suppressing the price while the perpetual future market extends the dip even further.

The price action of Bitcoin Cash often makes no sense, especially the daily candles for these dates on the futures market.

  • May 19, 2021: (-69% from daily high to low)!

  • June 21-22, 2021: (-30% from daily high to low)

  • Sep. 7th, 2021: (-28% from daily high to low)

  • Oct, 27th, 2021: (-10% daily change)

  • Nov, 16th, 2021: (-10% daily)

  • December 4th2021: (-36% from daily high to low)

  • Jan. 21 & 22, 2022: (-28% from daily high to low)

  • Jan 24, 2022: (-14% from daily high to low)

  • Apr, 6 2022: (-10% at daily close)

  • Apr, 11 2022: (-8% daily)

BCHUSD 1D - Binance Futures

This chart is the futures market of BCHUSD on Binance.

Binance

All the candles are stretched to the bottom during volatile dips the whole market suffered.

Bitcoin Cash was stretched in Binance futures at lower than spot market prices by 20-50%.

Especially on May 19, 2021, Bitcoin Cash in Binance Futures exchange dropped in just one day from a high price of $1112, all the way down to $324. 

This is a 70% decline in the futures market in just a single day.

In the spot market, we don't know how much Bitcoin Cash Binance actually holds as reserves. However the charts together with the suspension of withdrawals, present a realistic case that BCH's artificial supply is multiple times higher than its actual supply.

There is no transparency here, and Binance could be simply printing numbers and adding supply creating manufactured price pressure on the spot market and further enhancing short trading in the futures market

Even a quick peek at the Binance futures chart perfectly explains how this market operates with massive shorts unbalancing the price of Bitcoin Cash on numerous occasions, especially when Bitcoin Cash seems able to present a bullish case.

Binance covers a percentage (probably a small one) of the BCH sales with the real assets, but definitely not all.

Naked selling suggests a speculative illicit activity that profits a few speculators while harming investments.

Should we keep using crypto exchanges? Many still do, but they should question if it serves their investments.

We examine Bitcoin Cash, but maybe more cryptocurrencies face the same issues. Any investor should be worried when such practices apply in any exchange.

BCH is at the hands of manipulators when it sits in centralized exchanges.

The data is there on the charts, and the charts don't lie when expressing an artificial supply pressure for Bitcoin Cash that can be multiple times higher than the normal supply. Moreover the often withdrawal suspensions of BCH means Binance operates with fractional reserves.

Celsius

This is just a small part of investigating Celsius and is only relevant to how BCH deposited in this platform is used by "whale" traders to short Bitcoin Cash in futures exchanges.

Celsius is about to completely withdraw from the US market after it received multiple Cease and Desist letters since September 2021 from security regulators of several states (New JerseyKentuckyAlabamaTexas, NYAG), and eventually failed to comply with providing convincing information on its investment strategy.

Following the regulative action taken against Celsius, on April 11th, 2022, the company announced it will comply with the US regulation and stop offering its services to new customers in the country.

Right after this announcement, massive shorts closed and Bitcoin Cash price rallied. (more info).

So, shorting BCH bots didn't malfunction as some of us suspected, but a small short squeeze took place as Celsius shorters had to close their position, and withdraw to pay back the lenders at the Celsius platform.

The result was this. On April 12th, a massive upside price movement for Bitcoin Cash was spotted, during a time when the rest of the cryptocurrency market was slightly dropping.

BCH went from $290 up to $350 (+12%) in no time as Celsius shorts were closing and created the short squeeze.

Yet, again, even this chart fails to explain how the price didn't proceed higher than $380. (Guessing here that) the typical algorithms in the BCHBTC trades took control to keep the price levels suppressed, especially in periods when Bitcoin Cash was gaining a lot of popularity with the Caribbean adoption, multiple developments, and only positive news.

Perhaps the recent suspension of withdrawals on Binance explain that more BCH were sold than existed in exchanges.

Celsius is just one of the (Tether-related) businesses that proceed with lending massively tokens and coins to "institutions" and "investors" as it proclaims.

It seems Celsius was overly-focused on shorting Bitcoin Cash than having any other business model. This is what the charts suggest, and there is no transparent data presented by this company on its approach or use of the staked crypto, or the entities it lends out the crypto of its investors.

The borrowed Celsius coins are used for shorting practices though as this is how shorting works, anyone will have to borrow to be able to sell.

Celsius offer this for various cryptocurrencies, however they have done this rather excessively with BCH.

The chart explains a lot more than what is released to the public by this company.

If you are lending Bitcoin Cash to Celsius, you are handing over your BCH to the wolves that plan to short Bitcoin Cash and sustain a low price for years.

By looking at the charts and connecting the dots, we realize this company based its operations on shorting Bitcoin Cash.

A practical solution to this attack

Withdraw your Bitcoin Cash from any unfriendly to Bitcoin Cash centralized platform. It is damaging BCH all this time to hold Bitcoin Cash at Gemini, Kraken, Coinbase, Binance, or any centralized crypto bank or platform.

SmartBCH is also a reasonable solution offering yield rewards when providing liquidity for BCH/flexUSD, and another DEX, Verse, is already released by Bitcoin.com.

Eventually, Binance won't be able to support high artificial supply as it will be completely exposed to naked shorting practices.

The binance chart creates a bleak image for Bitcoin Cash traders and investors. It is an irrational chart with signs of a cryptocurrency suppression mechanism suggesting an attempt to keep BCH at an artificially low price.

Celsius is not transparent and its fate is tied to Tether, and it follows similar practices to this company.

In Conclusion: Bitcoin Cash Is Severely Suppressed

Bitcoin Cash price is suppressed and naked shorting BCH in exchanges. Sales in spot market on Binance don't represent actual BCH sales, and withdrawals are often suspended until the exchange covers its BCH reserves.

Bitcoin Cash is the only cryptocurrency competitive in the payments sector with plenty of initiatives worldwide to create awareness and onboarding new merchants and businesses daily.

Bitcoin Cash offers the most robust, cost-efficient, and environmentally friendly PoW network. It is a state-of-the-art cryptocurrency in any terms we examine it and contains several professional teams of developers working towards enhancing it further to achieve global adoption levels.

Yet, it is being severely shorted and price-suppressed even with fraudulent methods of naked shorting which artificially increase supply (liquidity) in the market.

There is only one way to deal with this dire situation: 

Withdraw your Bitcoin Cash from exchanges, research how to create a cold storage wallet or use a hardware wallet device and use Bitcoin Cash with a non-custodial approach.

Holding BCH in exchanges or centralized crypto-banks is only hurting the price of BCH. Eventually, it hurts the investors of Bitcoin Cash as well since their "earnings" are not enough to cover the loss from the use of their BCH.

The artificial supply of Bitcoin Cash tradeable in exchanges seems to be numerous times higher than the actual supply at this stage. Removing a small part of the actual supply will create various issues for both these exchanges and the BTC whales aiming to further decrease the BCH price.

Perhaps at this point, the only exception is CoinFLEX, an exchange that presents an honest approach to Bitcoin Cash investors. Traders can find a professional environment on this exchange instead of Binance or shady crypto-banks.

  • Cover Photo: by " Sponchia" on Pixabay (modified)


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2 years ago

Comments

Binance right now suspended BCH withdrawals.

$ 0.02
2 years ago

Really? This is impressive. Maybe someone started withdrawing.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Awesome article. Looking forward to the one about Celsius.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Hi again molecular, after a discussion with @jmjavin (on Reddit) I discovered I was wrong in my impression of how future markets in crypto work. The futures markets in crypto are based on an option called perpetual futures, which I mistakenly thought was a typical futures market. In fact, it is not. With perpetual futures, the trades (short or long) don't require any backing by the asset, and when the positions close there is no delivery. I seriously haven't figured that out, since I knew only about the traditional futures that work as I explained. I edited the article and removed parts where I was clearly wrong. While the outcome is not different, I still reached there following a mistake in my assumption.

It seems naked shorts apply in the spot market, where Binance sells BCH but withdrawals are suspended as there are not enough BCH reserves to handle withdrawals. I will write a second article explaining where I was wrong and basically why as well, since perpetual futures are not used anywhere else but in crypto exchanges only!

$ 0.00
2 years ago

I don't know if I managed to correctly explain the reason behind the Binance decision to suspend withdrawals in November, but still there is no other reason besides not having the BCH available. However, the future market action may have been a bad example in this case, so I removed a part that was discussing high future volumes.

The part about Celsius is exact, though. A short squeeze was applied only in BCH since the BCH deposited in this platform was used for this reason. Perhaps USDT was also used. About celsius, everything is already on the internet. I will summarize it, but there is so much we don't know about and is kept secret.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Literally confusing the Binance market for BCH perpetual swaps for spot market and assuming that they are both the same.

Volume for BCH perpetuals are reported in the dollar value of the perpetuals opened/settled within that window, not the number of BCH coins that exchanged hands. BTCUSD Perp on Binance had 61.6million in trading volume yesterday. Does that mean 61.6m BTC coins exchanged hands yesterday? No!

Take a look at the Binance BCHUSD market on 19 May 2021. Only 4k BCH was traded in that 4hr window when BCH dropped from 850 to 470.

Also recommending Coinflex, a platform that claims to account for 92% of total trading volume for BCH. Like come on man, how silly do you have to be to believe that is legitimate?

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Hahaha. How silly your dumb face looks when I block you?

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Good points, I didn't think about it. I'm using Celsius but not actively. Just checked and for BCH they propose 1.25% APY, this is also makes BCH not so attractive for new buyers (comparing with other crypto where the APY might be 5-10 times higher)

$ 0.00
2 years ago

I changed a few facts on this post, and I will write a new one tomorrow explaining where the mistake was and how I thought that Binance futures were settling in the asset traded. It was a mistake that I had no idea it was happening until I was notified about it. Sorry about that.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Yes Gemini has a higher rate. These platforms also have a similar direction. Gemini, NEXO, etc.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

From my experience, the best is FTX, you can earn there 7-8% on your BCH and % come hourly and not weekly like with Celsius Nexo I'm also using for affiliate link, if somebody wants to install Nexo with my link and sends 100 buck, then we both get $25 Good proposition for newcomers to crypto

$ 0.00
2 years ago

I'm suggesting not to stake BCH anywhere. The damage it does to the price in the end leads investors to massive losses. I am not suggesting Gemini, FTX, or anything. The funds are used by BTC whales to short and suppress the price. Perhaps something similar could be happening with other coins as well, but I didn't have time to research further.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

I suspect something similar is happening with NANO (now XNO). On OKX (OKEx) at times when deposits were temporarily disabled there were days when the price of NANO skyrocketed 2-3 times compared to the price on other exchanges. Why would anyone buy at 2-3x higher price? Only in case of forced liquidation of a short position. Unfortunately, right now nano charts are unavailable on OKX, as it seems NANO has been delisted there or may be in the process of moving to XNO.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Yes, that's reasonable. Maybe this can be good article idea?

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Your presentation on this is absolutely brilliant. Thank you for exposing this with such lucid composition.

$ 0.05
2 years ago

Hi, I changed parts in this post, and I will write tomorrow an explanation and the correction. The volumes traded in perpetual future markets are not covered and the assets are never delivered. I did no know that was happening as I have knowledge of future markets but this is called perpetual futures and only applies in the crypto markets.

$ 0.01
2 years ago

With charts, it is difficult to predict the future, but they don't lie. We can easily find out events that occurred and manipulation that happened. Charts tell a story, and the BCH chart screams manipulation at an extensive level. Celsius can do that and lend out BCH, it is not illegal or dishonest. I only warn against using this service as it doesn't fit Bitcoin Cash investors goals. Instead it damages Bitcoin Cash.

$ 0.01
2 years ago

It's actually good that the price of BCH is artificially low. Because it allows new real users, who buy BCH and withdraw to their wallets, to buy more BCH with their fiat at low price. We can say that speculators and lenders simply subsidize buying BCH for new users by allowing them to buy at this discount price. It is these speculators who pay the difference between the discount price and the real price of BCH, because hey are the ones who is going to suffer huge losses when massive short squeeze eventually happens.

$ 0.05
2 years ago

I had to rewrite part of this article as the future markets in crypto are mostly using an option called perpetual futures that don't demand the assets traded to be delivered. It is a speculative scheme that applies mostly or completely in the crypto world.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Yes, it's good for new investors to get lower price. But it's not good if they don't get to withdraw and use and own the coins.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

Interesting point. Distribution can be better at low price, but a price held close to all-time lows I don't think it is attractive to investors. The lower it goes the less are interested.

$ 0.00
2 years ago

In the financial world, there have always been gates to do a scam or a million cannon. Mass withdrawals, now, would mean once again a fairly high price volatility on the market. Glad to meet you Pantera!

$ 0.05
2 years ago