According to all major media outlets and results reported by individual states, Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump to become the next president of the United States.
Around 80% of the United States has clearly accepted this result. Although this is unusually low, there clearly is not a high chance that major violence will occur or that Trump could find the support to try to stay in power.
Currently the winner in every state has been declared by the Associated Press and the New York Times - although at least one is headed to a recount. The state of Georgia, where Biden won by about 0.25%, has already begun its recount, and the Trump campaign may try to get Arizona and Wisconsin to conduct recounts as well.
As some of my readers may know, the United States President is not selected by the popular vote, but rather by a system called the "Electoral College". In this system every state gets two Electoral College votes based on their senators, and then a number of electoral college votes based on how many members of the House of Representatives they have, which is based on population. The total number of Electoral votes per state ranges from 3-55. There have 538 total Electoral Votes, so a candidates needs 270 to win the election. The popular vote winner in each of those states gets all of the electoral votes from that state (*two states do this a little differently, but if you are not familiar with the electoral system in the United States don't worry about them). Based on current results Biden won 306 Electoral votes to Trump's 232.
The state of Georgia, worth 16 electoral votes, will conduct a recount, but Biden is expected to win. It was originally thought that Pennsylvania, worth 20 electoral votes, Nevada, worth six, and Michigan, worth 16, might have recounts. However, it now appears that Biden will win by a large enough margin that a recount will not be allowed in any of those states.
Arizona and Wisconsin still may or may not have recounts, depending on the final margins there. However, Biden leads in all of those states, and it would be shocking if a recount reversed even one of the results. Even if Trump reversed two of those results Biden would still win.
No state-level result has been reversed by a recount in a Presidential election in United States history, so essentially it is safe to say that Biden has won by a decent margin. Biden has also won the national popular vote by about 4-5%, with some votes still to be counted.
Despite this, Trump still refuses to accept the result, with some of his most die-hard supporters claiming massive election fraud, mostly based on how the results became more Democratic as the night went on. Cities have more votes than rural areas, so it takes them longer to count the votes and report results, and these cities tend to vote heavily for Democrats. This normally causes results to become more Democratic as the night goes on. In this election many votes chose to vote by mail due to the Coronavirus, while Donald Trump specifically told his supporters to vote in-person instead. Therefore, it is unsurprising that the mail-in ballots, which in most states were counted after votes cast in-person, went heavily Democratic. This was all expected for months ahead of time, but has still led to some conspiracy theories.
Trump's campaign has brought many legal challenges to the results in several states, but it seems that no court is taking them very seriously. Most of the evidence presented has been from Republican sources and low-level election staff claiming some level of fraud. The man who made one of the most widely-cited of these allegations has now admitted that he was not telling the truth. Others have not yet been substantiated or disproven in court. It seems that only enthusiastic Trump supporters believe there is any chance that the results will change.
As some of you all may remember, just before the election I predicted what the result would be. Here is the map I made:
I am very proud of how much of this prediction came true! I got the number of electoral votes exactly correct, although it happened a little differently than I expected. I predicted that Trump would win Georgia and Biden would win North Carolina, while the opposite actually happened. I also predicted that Biden would win all of Maine's electoral votes, but Trump won one of them (Maine is very unusual in that they are one of two states that can split their electoral votes. In the other 48 states the winner gets all of the electoral votes from that state.) Overall this was pretty close!
Overall the result of this election appears clear, and it seems that the transition to a Biden administration will only experience a little turmoil due to Trump refusing the concede.
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If that is the case let the court nd electoral commission investigate