Why Tether's checkered past poses a risk to the DeFi ecosystem

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4 years ago

Tether's market capitalization has surged in the past few months from $5 billion to $10 billion because of the recent DeFi expansion, and the proliferation of decentralized exchanges/swapping protocols, such as Uniswap. Despite its lofty status as the third-highest valued coin on coinmarketcap.com at time of writing, I have never owned any. Based on my research, here's why I think you should avoid Tether, and why the token is a risk to DeFi.

What is Tether?

Tether (USDT) is a cryptocurrency that was created in 2014. Originally called Realcoin, it was designed as a stablecoin that pegged its value to fiat currency, the US dollar, and was backed by reserves of the same amount of money.

Because market prices for many cryptocurrencies have fluctuated wildly in the past, there are many use cases for stablecoins. Most obviously, it just makes buying things easy for the consumer if commodities can be priced with some semblance of stability. It is also great for liquidity, and works as a hedge against volatility.

It's notable that although 1 USDT is equivalent to $1 US dollar, its market value can fluctuate, depending on supply and on demand.

Table 1 from coinmarketcap.com showing historical data for Tether pricing (July 31, 2020 to August 13, 2020)

Table 2 from coinmarketcap.com showing Tether statistics

How is Tether minted?

Tether tokens are issued by Tether Limited:

Tether converts cash into digital currency, to anchor or “tether” the value of the coin to the price of national currencies like the US dollar, the Euro, and the Yen. Tether (USDT) is issued on the Omni, TRON, and ETH blockchains, - Coinmarketcap.com

Tether's history of controversy

What is Tether's relationship with Bitfinex?

From my research, I have learned the crypto exchange Bitfinex and Tether Limited are both headquartered in Hong Kong, both registered in the British Virgin Islands, and are both owned by iFinex Incorporated. Not only are the two entities owned by the same individual(s), they also have the same CEO, Jan Ludovicus van der Velde. Based on my understanding of the hierarchy, it appears Mr. van der Velde is in a position where he has a conflict of interest. It's pretty clear that the decisions he makes with one company can have direct ramifications on the other. 

Allegations of fraud

Currently, Tether and Bitfinex, are in the middle of a fraud investigation led by the New York Attorney General’s office over allegations that they conspired to cover up $850 million dollars of losses in Bitfinex’s finances. 

Those transactions treat Tether’s cash reserves as Bitfinex’s corporate slush fund, and are being used to hide Bitfinex’s massive, undisclosed losses and inability to handle customer withdrawals, - New York Attorney General Letitia James

Tether's finances face scrutiny

Observers in the crypto community have been suspicious of Tether's finances for several years. It started when Tether itself was hit by a $31 million hack in November 2017. However, a more interesting revelation came from the ongoing investigation by the New York Attorney General's office:

...Tether’s reserves of cash and cash equivalents alone (without the line of credit) would cover approximately 74 percent of the outstanding amount of tether, - Zoe Phillips, Counsel for Tether, Morgan, Lewis & Bockius

This contradicts statements by Tether made not long ago that it was originally designed to always be worth $1.00, maintaining $1.00 in reserves for each Tether issued.

It's also notable that Tether Limited's Terms of Service states that owners of Tether Tokens have no contractual right, other legal claims, or guarantee that Tether Tokens will be redeemed or exchanged for dollars:

Paragraph 3 from Tether's Terms of Service from August 28, 2020

It always pays to read the fine print! Tether Limited is allowed to redeem Tether Tokens in-kind, which means even if you purchased the Tokens with US Dollars, Tether Limited can buy them back with Yen, or with something else they feel is equivalent.

Is Tether hiding something?

If Tether was confident that its finances are in good order, then they would be easily step out from under their cloud of suspicion by simply allowing an independent 3rd party to audit their books. Although other stablecoins, such as USD Coin (USDC) issued by Coinbase, or Gemini Dollar (GUSD) issued by Gemini have released their own audit results, this has never happened with Tether. That's right, Tether has never released an independent audit of their finances!

Allegations that Tether was used to manipulate Bitcoin's market price

Professors John Griffin and Amin Shams, of the University of Texas at Austin’s Department of Finance, claimed there was a link between the issuance of Tether and Bitcoin’s prices during the 2017 price increases. The published study found that Bitcoin purchases with Tether were timed following market downturns and resulted in sizable increases in Bitcoin prices. 

Although this matter has yet to be resolved, recent research suggests there may have been no link as reported by Dr. Griffin and Dr. Shams.

How does Tether pose a risk to DeFi?

I'm not going to explain DeFi, because read.cash already has several excellent articles written about it. I would like to acknowledge a fellow author, The Part Time Economist, who has posted an extremely well-written article that examined Compound Token.

It's important to remember that a common strategy in the DeFi world is to use stablecoins as collateral when borrowing crypto. This is because their low price volatility will help to mitigate the risk of liquidation in the event your collateral rapidly loses its value. 

Table 3 from compound.finance showing Markets - August 28, 2020

We can see that Compound Finance allows customers to both lend Tether, or to provide Tether as collateral when borrowing.  

Automated market maker Curve disclosed in June that it was seeing users depositing USDC as collateral to borrow USDT and using that borrowed USDT as a deposit for borrowing the USDC back again. Some users repeated this process up to 30 times – the maximum leverage on Compound – which they use to maximize their COMP Token allocation. 

Remember the investigation by the New York Attorney General's office?  Tether was fighting the legal proceedings for months, but a judge has ruled against them just a few weeks ago.

What would happen if Bitfinex and Tether were found to be guilty of fraud? Would everyone try to sell their Tether Tokens all at once? Would customers be able to get their fiat money back, or would they be forced to take something in-kind? More importantly, if the value of Tether was to drop rapidly, there's a chance every Tether collateral position would be liquidated all at once. What would happen to the Defi ecosystem then?

Final thoughts

It appears that Tether's legal problems are only beginning. Although the outcome of the investigation will not be finalized for some time, are you willing to take the risk to hold Tether Tokens in the interim? If only Tether could do away with all its controversy, it could be a well respected stablecoin, like DAI. Oh wait, maybe Tether isn't the only stablecoin to pose a risk to DeFi....

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Cover art: Tether logo by Tether Limited


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4 years ago

Comments

Well-written article! Although Tether does seem to have quite a bit of controversy surrounding it, seems to be the easiest stablecoin to find a trading pair for on exchanges. Sometimes, it has been necessary for me to briefly trade into Tether for the sole purpose of exchanging a lesser known crypto for which Tether is the only trading pair.

It's an honor to be mentioned in your article!

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4 years ago

Thanks for your kind words, and you are welcome for the mention. =)

Tether definitely has the first-mover advantage when it comes to stablecoins. I just fear the results of the investigation may cause havoc on the markets. Would prices plummet? How many investors would want to exit their Tether position? Who knows...it seems the whole DeFi system is ripe for something to implode. It's the new wild west of crypto...Lol.

Thanks for visiting!

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4 years ago

Hi I just registered here, have no cash one my wallet so I can't send u a tip right now

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4 years ago

Oh, I just saw your reply to me...sorry, I didn't recognize it was you friend! You don't need to tip me, because it would come out of your earnings. You can upvote/like and that's enough on read.cash

Thank you so much for coming over!

Are you on Twitter?

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4 years ago

Thanks for the kind words friend...feel humbled!

A like vote is just as good! =)

I hope to see you around!

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4 years ago