Ole Miss vs. Alabama 10/2/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview
Ole Miss visits Alabama on 10/2/2021 at 3:30PM.
Ole Miss and Alabama face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Ole Miss sports a record of 3-0 this season. Alabama is 4-0 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…
Ole Miss Team Defense Preview
Ole Miss has had 36 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.75 plays per drive. Ole Miss’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Ole Miss has had a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays are 49.76% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.
Ole Miss is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have had shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.
This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Ole Miss has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .
Ole Miss Team Offense Preview
Ole Miss has had 39 total drives this season and they generate 6.1 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Ole Miss. Any defense is in for a challenge with Ole Miss, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Ole Miss passes the football 42.86% of the time.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Ole Miss has had done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Ole Miss can take credit for 4.07 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.
Ole Miss bullied and controlled defenses this season , defenses are not to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Ole Miss is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. In order to stop this offense, it requires opposing defenses to need secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for the offense to be disrupted. Ole Miss is a better running team than passing team this season .
Alabama Team Defense Preview
Alabama has had 49 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Alabama are not a team that allows many plays per drive. The defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays are 45.71% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.
Alabama opponents have had struggled with running the ball and the defense crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line up and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback against this season ‘s defense, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.39 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.
Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Alabama is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .
Alabama Team Offense Preview
Alabama has had 45 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.84 plays per drive. Alabama run a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Alabama has had shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has had converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays are 52.47% of their play calls.Alabama passes more than other teams.
Alabama is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Alabama can take credit for 3.09 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. With a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, breakout rushing plays are possible, but it is not something to count on from them.
Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Alabama Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Alabama is a better passing team than running team this season .
The Ole Miss Roster
The Players to Watch for Ole Miss
Matt Corral QB 6’1″ 205 Sophomore
Matt Corral put up 997 yards, tossed 9 touchdowns, and he threw 0 interceptions this season. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 10.4 yards. He was considered one of the most mobile Quarterbacks in the country this season, designed runs and zone read looks are common. His average rush was 4.8 yards.
Jerrion Ealy RB 5’8″ 190 Sophomore
Jerrion Ealy had 190 rushing yards on 31 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 1 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 6.1 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 6.1 yards.
Dontario Drummond WR 6’0″ 215 Senior
Dontario Drummond picked up 339 yards through the air. He caught the ball 20 times this season. He reached the end zone 4 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 17.0 yards.
Tywone Malone DT 6’4″ 300 Freshman
The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ole Miss, Tywone Malone, had 3 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 1 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1 sacks this season.
Sam Williams DL 6’4″ 265 Senior
The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ole Miss, Sam Williams, had 11 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 4 sacks this season.
Keidron Smith DB 6’2″ 195 Junior
The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Ole Miss, Keidron Smith, had 18 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 2 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.
The Alabama Roster
The Players to Watch for Alabama
Bryce Young QB 6’0″ 194 Sophomore
Bryce Young put up 1123 yards, tossed 15 touchdowns, and he threw 1 interceptions. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 9.2 yards. His mobility and the staff’s willingness to use it for the purposes of generating yardage is average. His average rush was -1.5 yards.
Brian Robinson Jr. RB 6’1″ 228 Senior
Brian Robinson Jr. had 208 rushing yards on 37 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 2 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 5.6 yards. He was relied upon as a receiver in their offense this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 5.6 yards.
Jameson Williams WR 6’2″ 188 Sophomore
Jameson Williams picked up 299 yards through the air. He caught the ball 12 times this season. He reached the end zone 3 times. He was a consistent option in the passing game this season. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 24.9 yards.
Phidarian Mathis DL 6’4″ 312 Senior
The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Alabama, Phidarian Mathis, had 16 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 2 sacks this season.
Jordan Battle DB 6’1″ 210 Junior
The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Alabama, Jordan Battle, had 19 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.
Ole Miss vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks, and Odds
Prediction: Ole Miss 26 Alabama 27
Spread Pick: Ole Miss +14.5 -116 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Alabama -540 SportsInteraction
Under Pick: Under 79.5 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.
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