Following a of very big bullish BAT pattern:
As in my previous several articles I have been following the below harmonic pattern that is formed by the price action of Stellar and that is a very big bullish BAT on monthly chart. The formation of this bullish BAT pattern was started from the candlestick that was opened and closed on February 2017 and last leg was completed by the candlestick of December 2018. Since then the price action is moving in the potential reversal zone of this very big bullish BAT.
First I caught this pattern on September 2019 after that I posted a followup article with more details in November 2019 and when I I saw more developments in this pattern then I posted other followup article with more details on January 11th 2020.
There have been many time the priceline has hit beyond the potential reversal zone’s support but so far we don't have even a single candlestick that has broken down or completely opened and closed below this PRZ level. The potential reversals zone has been so far proven very strong support for the price action of Stellar. There is one critical point is that if we place the volume profile on the complete price action of this big bullish BAT pattern then we can examine that the traders interest is even below the potential reversal zone. Therefore there are so many times we have witnessed that that the candlesticks has hit the price below the PRZ level but after hitting beyond this level the price action again gets retraced in this potential reversal zone back.
Here we have another support that is moving along with the support of this potential reversal zone and that other support is the POC of this volume profile. As discussed earlier in my previous articles I have explained how this point of control of volume profile works as a centre of gravity for the priceline and the price action always moves around this POC level of volume profile. Therefore we can also notice here that since February 2019 up till now the price action is moving around this point of control level and whenever the candlesticks move up move down then POC of volume profile pulls the price action back towards itself therefore sofar it is really difficult for the priceline of XLM to break down or break out this POC level of volume profile.
The potential reversal zone or buying zone starts from $ 0.1108 and ends up to $0.0600 and the Fibonacci projection or sell zone starts from $0.2315 and ends upto $0.4135. Therefore this move can produce upto 589% massive profit. But if we calculate the profit form where the priceline is moving at this time then the profit possibility is up to 1037%.
In the meanwhile the priceline of XLM has been forming different other bullish chart patterns on short term and long term and I have been sharing the patterns with you but there was a pattern I had high expectations with, was a bullish Crab that was formed on 2 day chart.
And I shared this pattern on December 16th 2019. This time Stellar was expected to produce up to 98% profit and we have witnessed that as per prediction the XLM produced more than 70% rally and dropped down again. I was expecting that this time the priceline of Stellar will cross up 0.786 Fibonacci projection of A to D leg of this bullish Crab and if it will manage to cross up this Fibonacci projection level then it will turn more bullish and eventually it will lead to the execution of the big BAT pattern that has been formed on monthly chart and the price action will further more move up to enter in the sell zone for Fibonacci projection zone of the big bullish BAT. But unfortunately the price action failed to break out the 0.786 Fibonacci projection of bullish Crab.
Idea before execution:
Idea after execution:
A new bullish harmonic move same as like previous one:
Now this time while moving at the support of big bullish BAT pattern on monthly chart on smaller time period the Stellar has shown very positive move. This time it has formed another bullish Crab pattern on 2 day chart same is like it has formed in the month of December 2019 that we have discussed earlier.
The first leg of this pattern was started from the candlestick of 17th December 2019 and this leg was completed on 14th Feb 2020. After that the priceline retraced between 0.382 to 0.50 Fibonacci level that was the first confirmation of bullish Crab pattern and on the very next candlesticks the price action moved up and projected in the projection area of A to B leg between 0.382 to 0.886 Fibonacci projection and here we have received the second confirmation of bullish Crab. Now we needed a long bearish leg that should be retraced between 1.27 upto 1.618 Fibonacci level
And this recent market crash and strong bearish trend has helped the price action of Stellar to complete the final leg of this bullish Crab pattern. We can notice that the price action has hit the spike on 13th March 2020 in the potential reversal zone between 1.27 upto 1.618 Fib level that is also our buying zone for stellar. But even though after visiting the potential reversal zone the priceline again moved up and has hit the projection area between 0.382 to 0.786 projection of A toD leg and moved down again there can be strong chances that the priceline will again visit the potential reversal zone or buying zone and move up with another powerful bullish divergence and enter in the sell zone or Fibonacci projection of A to D leg. And this time again I am expecting that if the price line of Stellar will manage to cross up the 0.786 Fib projection then it can also lead the price line to move in the sell zone of the big bullish BAT pattern that has been formed on monthly chart that we have been following since last year September 2019.
The price line of XLM has very strong 3 supports
1. The maximum extent of potential reversal zone of big bullish BAT pattern that has been formed on monthly chart
2. Second support is the point of control of the volume profile that we have received after placing the volume profile on complete priceline of bit bullish BAT.
3. Third support is the potential reversal zone of bullish Crab pattern that has been recently formed on 2 day chart.
At this time we have two types of sell targets one is the midterm perspective another one is the long term target.
1. Midterm sell targets: The midterm sell targets are according to bullish Crab pattern that has been formed on 2 day chart are from $0.0421 to 0.0727.
2. Long term sell targets: The longterm sell targets are according to bullish BAT pattern that has been formed on monthly chart are from: $0.2315 to $0.4135
Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advise, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.
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