Formation of BAT:
On September 2019 the price action of Tron started the formation of bullish BAT pattern this pattern was completed on December 2019.
After completion of BAT it was expected that TRX will take the bullish divergence from the potential reversals zone of this bullish BAT and it will soon enter in the Fibonacci projection area of A to D leg from 0.382 to. 0.786 Fibonacci level. Then on 4th January the TRX started moving up and first the priceline crossed up the 0.382 and then 0.786 Fibonacci projectionl. After crossing the 0.78 Fibonacci level it was expected that the priceline will use the 0.786 projection as a support and it will move up from here but unfortunately it has crossed down the 0.786 Fibonacci projection and again entered in the projection area between 0.382 0.786 level. Now the priceline is using 0.382 Fibonacci level as a support and now it is being consolidated at this level.
Simple moving averages are still in golden cross:
On daily chart the price action first crossed up the 100 simple moving average on 16th of January and retested this moving average as a support and moved up again and crossed up 200 SMA in the meanwhile both moving averages with the time period of 100 and 200 formed a bull cross on 1st March 2020. This golden cross was formed first time after the death cross of 9 September 2019. The movement of the priceline was powerful than the movement of the moving averages therefore the price line did not have the support of the moving averages with its movement and went very far away from SMAs therefore it was expected that soon the priceline will again drop on these moving averages and now we can see that the price line of TRX has dropped down and using 100 and 200 simple moving averages as support. Even tough we have seen a strong bearish trend from 16th of January up to 27th of February but these moving averages are still in golden cross that is very positive sign that these moving averages will not let the price action cross down and will provide strong support.
Formation of new bullish harmonic pattern:
Now with the recent down trend the price action of Tron has completed another harmonic pattern and this time it has formed a bullish Shark pattern and entered in the potential reversal zone of this bullish Shark.
Let's dig this pattern deeper to see how perfect this pattern is formed:
After initial leg (X to A) the A to B leg is retraced between 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci and then B to C leg is projected between 1.13 to 1.618 of A to B leg's Fibonacci projection (here I have ignored some extra spike) and final (C to D) leg is retraced between 0.886 to 1.13 Fibonacci as required for perfect perfect bullish Shark pattern.
After the completion of this bullish Shark pattern we have another strong support of the potential reversal zone and now it will be difficult for the price action to break down the support of this PRZ level. Now from here it is expected that soon priceline will be entered in the Fibonacci projection of C to D leg from 0.382 to 0.786 Fibonacci level.
The push that the price action of Tron will have from this potential reversal zone can help the TRX to continue the bullish rally wich was started since Dec 2019.
Long term resistance and support:
On long term weekly chart we can see that Tron has strong support at $0.01277 and this support is not broken since November 2018. Now we can see recently TRX has formed a double bottom on this support and after the completion of double bottom it has hit the first resistance at $0.023 and this is also a very strong resistance because in the previous history of Tron it has been working as a support since Feb 2018. Once this resistance will be broken out then we can see that the price action move up to hit the next resistance level at $0.031 and after this resistance level we will have key level resistance at $0.039. Once this key level resistance will be broken out then the TRX can become more strong bullish to achieve the higher price ever in the history of the Tron.
But if the priceline will breakdown the 200 simple moving average the it can move back to previous support level to retest it. I will keep posting more updates on Tron.