How safe is it to invest in Bitcoin in 2020?

Yes it will be quite stable or move upwards throughout 2020 where it’ll probably reach $20,000-$80,000 and prepare to sell it in 2021, where it will probably peak at $180,000 and then flame out.

Why $180,000? Because of the halvening.

Bitcoin always does a 200% pump within 1 year before the halvening and another much, much bigger pump in the year after the halvening.

We’ve seen this before for every halvening.

1. From $3 to $10 (220%) the year before and from $10 to its peak of $1,000 (10,000%) 1 year after the 1st halvening in 2013, a total of 300x

2. From $300 to $900 (200%) the year before and from $900 to its peak of $20,000 (1,800%) 1.5 years after the 2nd halvening in 2016, a total of 66x

3. From $3,000 to $9,000 (200%) the year before and then potentially from $9,000 to its peak of $90,000 (1,000%) 2 years after the 3rd halvening in 2020, a total of 30x

As we can see, the pumps always get a bit less strong and take 50% longer. This makes sense, because the market is maturing.

The decline in pumps also gets less strong. That’s why this approximation is probably the best.

1. 220%/10,000% within 1 year after the Halving

2. 200%/1,800% within 1.5 years after the Halving

3. 200%/1,000% within 1.5–2 years after the Halving

Funnily enough, we have already had the pre-halvening pump for 2019 now until $14,000 and we will probably settle around $10,000-$15,000 until just before the Halving.

Conclusion

We are on track to hitting $90,000 1.5–2 years after the Halving at the end of 2021, just because of the halvening alone. However, since this is the first time real mass-adoption will happen and all the largest companies in the world are already using blockchain technology now, this added factor could bring us to $180,000 until late 2021 or 2022 even.

Of course, there remains one obstacle, the Bitcoin scalability bottleneck, which would present big difficulties when Bitcoin wants to cross $50,000.

At that point, we will possibly see a 30%-50% crash and either Bitcoin increases its block size to 10MB or makes another simple adjustment or another coin will replace Bitcoin and take on its volume.