The border dispute between China and India is very old
The only major conventional confrontation between China and India was once, in but in the decades since the war, the two Asian nations have built up vast armaments, and hostility between the two nuclear-armed nations has grown.
Military tensions between the two countries have suddenly escalated after clashes between Indian and Chinese forces in the Galwan Valley in Ladakh on Monday night left several soldiers dead on both sides.
What is the risk of war between these two countries? What would happen if war broke out between the world's two most populous and nuclear-armed countries? India or China - does anyone really want such a war? And in such a conflict, why countries like Bangladesh will be in crisis?
How worrying is the Sino-Indian conflict?
Over the past few weeks, Chinese and Indian troops have strengthened their forces in three areas along the border. Although the border between India and China has not been demarcated, the two sides have agreed several times that the current situation will not be violated. No one should try to change the existing situation. Now, the Chinese and Indian sides have contradictory statements about what happened on Monday night. Both sides say that the other side's army has come forward from their previous position and occupied the land and that is why there have been clashes. So the situation is a bit murky. Both sides are making contradictory statements. It is unknown at this time what he will do after leaving the post. But it is clear that both sides are not willing to give up their area of control and will fight if necessary. And that's what they did. However, no shots were heard.
Is it just a border dispute, or is there something bigger behind it
Last year, Indian and Chinese troops took part in a joint exercise in the state of Meghalaya.
Whatever the military or the armed forces do, there is a political-diplomatic background behind it. The current relationship between India and China is quite hostile in a global context. The position of these two countries in world politics is in two rival camps. Internationally, China has no allies in that sense. One of their allies is Pakistan. On the other hand, the United States has been India's ally for 20 years. Relations between the United States and India have grown closer since 1999-2000. This includes the issue of military cooperation. This cooperation has been very strong in the last two decades. India has participated in several US-led military alliances in particular.
On the other hand, since China's relations with the United States have become quite hostile in the last few years, they do not like India-US military cooperation at all. There is such an international political and diplomatic context of enmity between China and India. In this context, Sino-Indian relations have become increasingly hostile. Seen in that light, this border dispute is just an expression of enmity between them.
Could this Sino-Indian tension turn into a larger military conflict?
China is alleged to be behind the demand for an independent Gorkha state in eastern India.
Both China and India have improved communication in their border areas over the past decade. China has done it in Tibet. And India has done it in the southern Arunachal Pradesh and Ladakh region. Both countries have built roads and air bases in these places. The radar station is set up. The army has increased the gathering. Both sides have deployed different types of war equipment. The two countries have also held military exercises there. So a belligerent attitude has been seen in recent months.
Along with this, a nationalist attitude has become strong in both China and India. If you look at the news media of the two countries, especially in India, it will be quite noticeable. There is a lot of talk about identifying China as a hostile country. However, India is not getting much importance in the Chinese media. But even then, when it comes to India, there is a clear nationalist attitude. So it can be said, politically and diplomatically that global polarization, there is a conflict between India and China.
Secondly, a nationalist aspiration has become quite strong in both the countries.
Third, tensions are rising in the border areas where the two countries' armed forces are deployed face-to-face. So all in all, the situation is quite complicated.
Anti-China protests by hardline Indian nationalists in Delhi.
Does that mean the two countries can get involved in a war ahead?
It is in the interest of both countries not to get involved in the war. Because if there is a war, the damage will be huge. Both countries will suffer. Therefore, both countries want peaceful coexistence.
Both China and India have nuclear weapons. If the two countries continue to use increasingly dangerous weapons of mass destruction, the two countries have the potential to destroy each other.
So my idea is that no country wants to get involved in such a large-scale conflict. Because no one can say what the outcome of this war will be in the end.
Second, economic relations between India and China have now taken a massive shape. No country would want to sever such a relationship in a global economic crisis.
Third, both sides understand that if war breaks out too much, it could lead to terrible danger. Because both countries are nuclear powers. So they will try to reduce the tension.
