Smoke from the explosion of the atomic bomb.
According to a US-based study, the nuclear dispute between India and Pakistan over the Kashmir dispute will immediately kill about 125 million people. Researchers say that millions of people will die of starvation as a result of the adverse effects on the climate. Giving the idea of such a catastrophe, it is said that in 2025, war may break out between these two nuclear-armed countries in South Asia. A study by Rutgers University in the United States has revealed these fears.
Researchers have also created some scenarios or fictional scenes of how this war will start.
Scenario 1:
A terrorist will carry out a bomb attack on the Indian Parliament. Indian leaders will be killed. In response, the Indian army will enter Pakistan and launch an attack. Pakistan will use nuclear bombs to defend itself. Then India will also use their atomic bomb. Both countries will then go to war with as many nuclear weapons as they have.
Scenario 2:
India will attack Kashmir. After that the nuclear war will start. But that would not be the case in both countries if wise leaders were in power, and that is why it has not happened yet. But such a variety of imaginary scenes can be created which can cause the situation to get out of control
40 Indian soldiers killed in attack in Pulwama, Kashmir in February 2019
Rutgers University in the United States, Professor of Environmental Sciences. Alan Robock, who was involved in the study, told BBC Bangla: "India and Pakistan are increasing their nuclear arsenals. Not only in terms of numbers, they are also increasing the explosive power of these weapons. As a result, they fear war between India and Pakistan. .
How were these war scenes created? Are these just some dramas?
Researcher Alan Robock says they have conducted workshops with some professionals to discuss these possible causes.
"Some retired generals from the Indian and Pakistani armies were placed in two separate cells. One side was asked to give some idea of the reasons for the war. They were then taken to another cell in another cell. What will they do if something like that happens? These scenarios have been created on the basis of such discussions. "
However he acknowledged that their numbers were not enough to defeat Obama's government.
Why 2025?
The research report fears that in 2025, two of South Asia's worst enemies: India and Pakistan, could be at war. How was this time of war determined?
Professor Robock says they have chosen just one year from the future.
"This war could happen at any time, maybe tomorrow. There is no information about the future. No one can predict when it will happen. So we have used some scenarios to understand what might happen. We are just trying to illustrate that possibility." I have chosen a time. "
Indian airstrikes in Balakot, Pakistan after the Pulwama attack.
Can nuclear war really start in 2025?
Major General Dipankar Banerjee, a former Indian Army officer and security analyst, said the study was "absolutely fictional" and had no scientific basis.
"People think the two countries have atomic bombs. The relationship between them is not good. That means war will break out between them in five or six years."
However he acknowledged that their numbers were not enough to defeat President Conte's government.
In 1998, India and Pakistan tested an atomic bomb. The last 11 years have passed since then. There has been the Kargil war, but the use of atomic bombs has never been mentioned since then.
"No country wants to do anything on purpose. But accidentally for a variety of reasons - such as fear, anger often leads to a lot of things," he said. Banerjee.
Quaid-e-Azam University nuclear scientist in Pakistan agreed with this study. Parvez Hoodbhai. "There is always the possibility of war between India and Pakistan," he said.
"Such a war could be started accidentally, not by any plan. If tensions between the two countries continue indefinitely, and they have nuclear weapons, a lot can happen."
Giving an example, he said, "Pakistan could have responded harder to what happened in Balakot after Pulwama in Kashmir. India would have done something then. Tensions could have escalated to such an extent that a nuclear war could have started."
"The conflict between India and Pakistan is worse than what happened during the Cold War. Thousands of miles between the United States and the Soviet Union, but the border between India and Pakistan is the same, with shootings aimed at each other almost every day.
