(DISCLAIMER - This is not financial advice; this post is for entertainment purposes only.)
No tweaks were made to my bitcoin stocks portfolio this week as it was a good week with 18 winning positions and only 5 losing. Among the winners were my usual suspects - VYGR, HUT.wt, BITF - my 4-digit percentage winners, which they have been since November 2020.
Looking at the updated table of publicly-traded stocks with bitcoin treasuries - it is now showing 56 treasuries owning 6.78% of total BTC. New addition this week was a South Korean/Japanese video game company that trades on the Nikkei exchange, Nexon Co with 1717 BTC. Finally, more companies from other parts of the world are being added to the website.
I guess this is as good a time to review how I got here. Last fall, I found out about bitcointreasuries.org via some crypto videos on Youtube and thought it would be cool if I added some of these publicly traded companies to my stock portfolio and this would be a niche I could blog about. One thing led to another until I now own over 20 such stocks, virtually all performing better than expected, leading me to branch out also to altcoin stocks.
What have I learnt so far? It starts with finding your narrative (ie. typical 4 year bitcoin cycle with blow-off top possibly tempered by institutional growth) and how these stocks fit in, doing your due diligence, having conviction with your chosen narrative and sticking to it. No paper hands, hold very tight. keep learning along the way. Watch out for bitcoin option expiry dates.
In the meantime, here are my returns for the last twenty-four weeks based on the percentage gain/loss on the valuation tab on my discount brokerage summary page.
Enterprise
MicroStrategy (MSTR):+280.0% (Apr 30/21) +254.5% (Apr 23/21) +301.1% (Apr 16/21) +311.1% (Apr 9/21) +306.8% (Apr 1/21) +260.8% (Mar 26/21) +349.2% (Mar 19/21) +353.3% (Mar 12/21) +258.6% (Mar 5/21) +333.9% (Feb 26/21) +457.3% (Feb 19/21) +498.1% (Feb 12/21) +366.1% (Feb 5/21) +256.9% (Jan 29/21) +233.7% (Jan 22/21) +234.3% (Jan 15/21) +207.4% (Jan 8/21) +124.7% (Dec 31/20) +86.5% (Dec 24/20) +74.2% (Dec 18/20) +65.3 (Dec 11/20)+89.7% (Dec 4/20) +56.9% (Nov 27/20) +28.4% (Nov 20/20)
MSTR stock price up last week. No new BTC purchased - their stockpile still at 91,579 BTC (worth over $5.3B). My bet is they'll buy in 2 weeks.
Interesting that MSTR market cap is only $6.4B, way down from their $11B high during the internet era (which was mentioned in this Charlie Rose interview in 2000.)
Last week, MSTR CEO Michael Saylor debated gold promoter Frank Giustra. Most gave Saylor the win.
MSTR reported 10.3% revenue increase in Q1.
Tesla (TSLA):-5.3% (Apr 30/21) -1.1% (Apr 23/21) +0.6% (Apr 16/21) -7.8% (Apr 9/21) -9.8% (Apr 1/21) -15.4% (Mar 26/21) -11.0% (Mar 19/21) -12.9% (Mar 12/21) -23.8% (Mar 5/21) -13.5% (Feb 26/21)
Eight losing weeks out of nine since my Feb 26 purchase. I should top up next week.
Fintech
Square (SQ):+11.1% (Apr 30/21) +11.9% (Apr 23/21) +16.3% (Apr 16/21) +18.8% (Apr 9/21) +4.2% (Apr 1/21) -3.0% (Mar 26/21) +2.1% (Mar 19/21) +9.9% (Mar 12/21) -1.7% (Mar 5/21) +4.4% (Feb 26/21) +25.6% (Feb 19/21) +23.8% (Feb 12/21) +9.1% (Feb 5/21) -2.0% (Jan 29/21) +1.2% (Jan 22/21) +3.4% (Jan 15/21) +9.6% (Jan 8/21)-1.2% (Dec 31/20) +3.6% (Dec 24/20) +6.9% (Dec 18/20) -1.7% (Dec 11/20)
After adding more bitcoin ($170M) to their stash, Square's returns have been up and down (up 11.1% overall this week) since I bought SQ.
Mogo (MOGO.wt):+248.3% (Apr 30/21) +180.0% (Apr 23/21) +195.5% (Apr 16/21) +326.1% (Apr 9/21) +284.9% (Apr 1/21) +224.5% (Mar 26/21) +357.7% (Mar 19/21) +258.5% (Mar 12/21) +149.2% (Mar 5/21) +200.0% (Feb 26/21) +329.4% (Feb 19/21) +262.3% (Feb 12/21) +92.5% (Feb 5/21) +20.8% (Jan 29/21) +40.4% (Jan 22/21) +66.4% (Jan 15/21) +58.5% (Jan 8/21) -1.5% (Dec 31/20)
MOGO.wts were up for the week. Mogo is a Canadian fintech company with a crypto division. (The good thing is that my first $100 bitcoin purchase on the platform is now worth over $500.)
During the week I received my MOGOcard. Now what can I do with it?
Banxa (BNXA):+144.9% (Apr 30/21) +160.6% (Apr 23/21) +154.4% (Apr 16/21) +197.0% (Apr 9/21)+170.9% (Apr 1/21) +148.6% (Mar 26/21) +207.8% (Mar 19/21) +108.9% (Mar 12/21) +3.0% (Mar 5/21) +5.5% (Feb 26/21)
Self-described as the Paypal of crypto, Banxa is a name I have encountered before. While trying to make a deposit on Binance, I remember Banxa was one of 2 names involved in their payment processing, the other being Simplex.
Any time I hear about M&A in crypto, this is one name I often think of. They can be bought out by either the newer crypto exchanges or the traditional finance entities looking for a crypto foothold.
Bitcoin Miners
Bitfarms (BITF):+1274.9% (Apr 30/21) +825.6% (Apr 23/21) +960.2% (Apr 16/21) +1227.3% (Apr 9/21) +1194.2% (Apr 1/21) +1204.5% (Mar 26/21) +1281.1% (Mar 19/21) +1212.8% (Mar 12/21) +1055.4% (Mar 5/21) +1121.7% (Feb 26/21) +1542% (Feb 19/21) +804.9% (Feb 12/21) +676.5% (Feb 5/21) +573.0% (Jan 29/21) +537% (Jan 22/21) +786.0% (Jan 15/21) +717.9% (Jan 8/21) +415.6% (Dec 31/20) +334.8% (Dec 24/20)+175.4% (Dec 18/20) +32.5% (Dec 11/20) +49.1% (Dec 4/20) +49.1% (Nov 27/20) +42.9% (Nov 20/20)
Hut 8 Mining (HUT.wt):+1893.7% (Apr 30/21) +1679.2% (Apr 23/21) +2100.5% (Apr 16/21) +2427.8% (Apr 9/21) +2875.4% (Apr 1/21) +2578.3%% (Mar 26/21) +3172.6% (Mar 19/21) +3037.2% (Mar 12/21) +2570.7% (Mar 5/21) +2980.8% (Feb 26/21) +3240.4% (Feb 19/21) +2552% (Feb 12/21) +1352% (Feb 5/21) +1145.1% (Jan 29/21) +1258% (Jan 22/21) +1660.5% (Jan 15/21) +2243.6% (Jan 8/21) +524.5% (Dec 31/20) +411.6% (Dec 24/20) +249.8% (Dec 18/20) +39.2% (Dec 11/20) +50.5% (Dec 4/20) -4.1% (Nov 27/20) -6.0% (Nov 20/20)
Hive Blockchain (HIVE):+459.8% (Apr 30/21) +326.4% (Apr 23/21) +426.1% (Apr 16/21) +501.8% (Apr 9/21) +494.6% (Apr 1/21) +397.3% (Mar 26/21) +462.2% (Mar 19/21) +482.6% (Mar 12/21) +432.1% (Mar 5/21) +476.6% (Feb 26/21) +710.8% (Feb 19/21) +376.9% (Feb 12/21) +233.9% (Feb 5/21) +190.7% (Jan 29/21) +208.7% (Jan 22/21) +241.1% (Jan 15/21) +302.4% (Jan 8/21) +187.1% (Dec 31/20) +154.7% (Dec 24/20) +201.5% (Dec 18/20) +55.0% (Dec 11/20) +49.0% (Dec 4/20) +16.0% (Nov 27/20)
Cypherpunk Holdings (HODL):+45.0% (Apr 30/21) +19.4% (Apr 23/21) +50.7% (Apr 16/21) +39.3% (Apr 9/21) +56.4% (Apr 1/21) +64.9% (Mar 26/21) +121.8% (Mar 19/21) +84.8% (Mar 12/21) +79.2% (Mar 5/21) +93.4% (Feb 26/21) +93.4% (Feb 19/21) +90.5% (Feb 12/21) +62.1% (Feb 5/21) +19.4% (Jan 29/21) +22.3% (Jan 22/21) +45.0% (Jan 15/21) +76.3% (Jan 8/21) +19.8 %(Dec 31/20) +10.1% (Dec 24/20) +0.4% (Dec 18/20) -2.8% (Dec 11/20)
Fortress Blockchain (FORT):+140.7% (Apr 30/21) +113.9% (Apr 23/21) +171.9% (Apr 16/21) +189.7% (Apr 9/21) +194.1% (Apr 1/21) +189.7% (Mar 26/21) +229.8% (Mar 19/21) +203.1% (Mar 12/21) +176.3% (Mar 5/21) +171.9% (Feb 26/21) +136.2% (Feb 19/21) +27.0% (Feb 12/21) -4.2% (Feb 5/21) -10.9% (Jan 29/21) -1.9% (Jan 22/21)
Marathon (MARA):+46.4% (Apr 30/21) +30.5% (Apr 23/21) +57.7% (Apr 16/21) +98.9% (Apr 9/21) +98.5% (Apr 1/21) +47.0% (Mar 26/21) +74.4% (Mar 19/21) +64.4% (Mar 12/21) +23.2% (Mar 5/21) +24.3% (Feb 26/21) +77.0% (Feb 19/21) +58.3% (Feb 12/21) -6.8% (Feb 5/21)
Riot Blockchain (RIOT):+73.3% (Apr 30/21) +61.8% (Apr 23/21)+88.2% (Apr 16/21) +109.6% (Apr 9/21) +120.1% (Apr 1/21) +104.4% (Mar 26/21) +155.7% (Mar 19/21) +104.1% (Mar 12/21) +72.0% (Mar 5/21) +87.7% (Feb 26/21) +203.6% (Feb 19/21) +111.1% (Feb 12/21) +0.6% (Feb 5/21)
Mechanical Technology (MKTY):+64.2% (Apr 30/21) +58.8% (Apr 23/21) +88.9% (Apr 16/21) +70.4% (Apr 9/21) +124.4% (Apr 1/21) +150.1% (Mar 26/21) +102.5% (Mar 19/21) +52.9% (Mar 12/21) +25.9% (Mar 5/21) +37.6% (Feb 26/21) +122.7% (Feb 19/21) +69.9% (Feb 12/21)
Good Works Acquisition Corp (GWAC):-16.5% (Apr 30/21) -15.9% (Apr 23/21) -14.8% (Apr 16/21) -12.9% (Apr 9/21) -10.7% (Apr 1/21) -10.0% (Mar 26/21) -6.9% (Mar 19/21) +0.1% (Mar 12/21)
DMG Blockchain (DMGI):-41.2% (Apr 30/21) -28.0% (Apr 23/21) -30.5% (Apr 16/21) -14.7% (Apr 9/21) +0.3% (Apr 1/21)
A better week for the miners. 8 wins 2 losses.
My purchase of the Good Works SPAC still has not worked out but three facts remain - 1) GWAC will merge with Cipher Mining, a subsidiary in the BitFury Group; 2) BitFury holds several million shares of Hut 8; 3) Chairman of Hut 8 Bill Tai was an early investor in BitFury. Could BitFury take a run at Hut 8? and will this be the one that starts a M&A spree?
At some point there has to be some M&A action in the miner space. You can build an arms race for only so long. Either miners merge with each other or a larger entity like a Galaxy (which has started a mining operation) or a SPAC takes them out.
Having said that, I have tightened up on my miners. as I have way too many, especially the latterly ones, which I have been buying at higher prices. This space is extremely competitive and I might trim some more positions.
Crypto Trading Platforms
Coinbase (COIN): -5.7% (Apr 30/21) -6.2% (Apr 23/21)
Small position so far. Will buy on dips.
Voyager Digital (VYGR):+3441.6% (Apr 30/21) +2858.6% (Apr 23/21) +3282.3% (Apr 16/21) +4178.6% (Apr 9/21) +4289.1% (Apr 1/21) +3609.8% (Mar 26/21) +3805% (Mar 19/21) +2570.9% (Mar 12/21) +2092% (Mar 5/21) +2348.8% (Feb 26/21) +2327.0% (Feb 9/21) +2158.8% (Feb 12/21) +2018.8% (Feb 5/21) +922.1% (Jan 29/21) +766.8% (Jan 22/21) +874.6% (Jan 15/21) +648.6% (Jan 8/21) +534.4% (Dec 31/20) +441.9% (Dec 24/20) +366.1% (Dec 18/20) +181.2% (Dec 11/20) +129.9% (Dec 4/20) +99.0% (Nov 27/20) +40.0% (Nov 20/20)
Finally the bleeding stopped for VYGR, up after dropping since April 1. However, it's still up a stellar 3441.6% gain since the November 20, 2020 week.
I have to say I'm getting distracted with all this volatility. which is something I acknowledge that I signed up for. The stocks in my portfolio are getting too numerous and I end up forgetting things. Last post I mentioned I sold a second batch of VYGR but actually I did not. I had assumed it was sold but the ask was not hit.
Less good news but there's still many positives for the company - a revised loyalty program, network effects, one week closer to the Canadian and NY introduction of the app. (VYGR's market cap is $3.58B CAD vs pre-IPO USD valuations of Robin Hood ($40B ), eToro ($10B) and Coinbase's $55.36B.)
BIGG Digital Assets (BIGG):+350.5% (Apr 30/21) +347.1% (Apr 23/21) +583.5% (Apr 16/21) +497.9% (Apr 9/21) +292.3% (Apr 1/21) +235.8% (Mar 26/21) +263.2% (Mar 19/21) +179.2% (Mar 12/21) +165.5% (Mar 5/21) +100.4% (Feb 26/21) +109.0% (Feb 19/21) +61.0% (Feb 12/21) +69.0% (Feb 5/21) +22.8% (Jan 29/21) +17.5% (Jan 22/21) +32.0% (Jan 15/21) +53.1% (Jan 8/21) +32.0% (Dec 31/20) +24.1% (Dec 24/20) +21.4% (Dec 18/20) -12.9% (Dec 11/20)
A steady price was maintained over the last few weeks for BIGG as investors have been unlocking the value from BIGG's subsidiaries - one being Netcoins.ca, a Canadian crypto exchange where I have signed up and hope to trade on. I cannot wait for the Voyager app anymore. Previously I did buy more BIGG shares after watching their presentation with Adelaide Capital.
I also like their Qlue product offering - comparable to product at Chainalysis, which has now privately raised another $100M and has a $2B valuation.
Diversified Crypto
Galaxy Digital (GLXY):+204.6% (Apr 30/21) +183.2% (Apr 23/21) +194.4% (Apr 16/21) +185.3% (Apr 9/21) +118.2% (Apr 1/21) +77.0% (Mar 26/21) +142.7% (Mar 19/21) +54.3% (Mar 12/21) +49.9% (Mar 5/21) +44.7% (Feb 26/21) +99.3% (Feb 19/21) +136.3% (Feb 12/21) +67.1% (Feb 5/21) +13.8% (Jan 29/21) +18.8% (Jan 22/21) +29.9% (Jan 15/21) +37.6% (Jan 8/21) +34.5% (Dec 31/20) +15.3% (Dec 24/20) +20.0% (Dec 18/20) -10.5% (Dec 11/20) -9.9% (Dec 4/20) -10.8% (Nov 27/20) -6.6% (Nov 20/20)
Another solid month of increasing prices with only one slight hiccup, GLXY is a keeper what with the planned US up-listing in the second half of 2021. Things are looking up. Their market cap is still only $3.26 B CAD. It's very obvious they will need to be on a bigger exchange.
I'm of the opinion that GLXY should have a market cap above VYGR ($3.58 B), which is slowly happening.
I re-watched the MicroStrategy summit video, where Galaxy's presentation revealed that they should be a major beneficiary of the MSTR event as they pitched their 'white glove' services to 8000 executives. They are involved in direct investments in 90 start-up ventures, a trading desk, derivatives, investment banking, asset management and a $300M fund investing in the virtual space (ie. NFTs, virtual worlds). The value of these various divisions are slowly beginning to unlock.
Bitcoin Funds (Closed-end)
3iQ The Bitcoin Fund (QBTC):+146.7% (Apr 30/21) +122.8% (Apr 23/21) +169.7% (Apr 16/21) +158.3% (Apr 9/21) +159.3% (Apr 1/21) +134.4% (Mar 26/21) +154.3% (Mar 19/21) +145.2% (Mar 12/21)+111.4% (Mar 5/21) +100.1% (Feb 26/21) +124.2% (Feb 19/21) +120.1% (Feb 12/21) +78.0% (Feb 5/21) +59.6% (Jan 29/21) +57.4% (Jan 22/21) +80.2% (Jan 15/21) +109.9% (Jan 8/21) +54.5% (Dec 31/20) +24.7% (Dec 24/20) +21.7% (Dec 18/20) -16.8% (Dec 11/20) -10.1% (Dec 4/20) -15.0% (Nov 27/20) -5.1% (Nov 20/20)
3iQ is about to introduce a BTC ETF, the fourth in Canada. My question would be - do I get out at 146% gain or leave it alone and wait for the conversion to an ETF?
Exchange traded funds - ETF
Purpose Bitcoin ETF - (BTCC):+21.3% (Apr 30/21) +8.1% (Apr 23/21) +30.9% (Apr 16/21) +24.1% (Apr 9/21) +25.0% (Apr 1/21) +14.4% (Mar 26/21) +25.3% (Mar 19/21) +20.5% (Mar 12/21) +4.7% (Mar 5/21)+0.6% (Feb 26/21)
Evolve Bitcoin ETF - (EBIT):+16.9% (Apr 30/21) +5.6% (Apr 23/21) +28.8% (Apr 16/21) +21.6% (Apr 9/21) +23.4% (Apr 1/21) +13.1% (Mar 26/21) +23.1% (Mar 19/21) +18.3% (Mar 12/21) +4.2% (Mar 5/21) -0.1% (Feb 26/21)
CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETF - (BTCX):+1.5% (Apr 30/21) -7.6% (Apr 23/21) +3.1% (Apr 16/21) -2.6% (Apr 9/21) -1.3% (Apr 1/21) -9.4% (Mar 26/21) -1.5% (Mar 19/21)
Meanwhile, the prices of all three Canadian ETFs increased while awaiting their fourth rival. So far, BTCC, the world's first BTC ETF, has consistently eked out a small lead despite their rivals EBIT and BTCX having lower management fees.
I can dollar cost average into BTCX all I want but its performance likely won't overtake the others any time soon.
Actual Bitcoin
BTC purchased off Coinbase at $50/week: +190.0% (Apr 30/21) +166.7% (Apr 23/21) +187.5% (Apr 16/21) +215.1% (Apr 9/21) +216.4% (Apr 1/21) +202.2% (Mar 26/21) +220.7% (Mar 19/21) +248.7% (Mar 12/21) +196.7% (Mar 5/21) +165.8% (Feb 26/21) +241.5% (Feb 19/21) +183.7% (Feb 12/21) +146.1% (Feb 5/21) +119.2% (Jan 29/21) +121.7% (Jan 22/21) +159.1% (Jan 15/21) +177.5% (Jan 8/21) +114.1% (Dec 31/20) +79.7% (Dec 24/20) +76.0% (Dec 18/20) +44.8% (Dec 11/20) +52.7% (Dec 4/20) +49.3% (Nov 27/20)+59.7% (Nov 20/20) (using https://www.bitcoindollarcostaverage.com/)
Conclusion:
This past week, my portfolio was up. Week before, it was down. Man, it's a roller coaster ride.
One always needs to keep an eye on two directions - the possibilities of a BTC super cycle and a giant crash in the near future.
My long term holds - all the ETFs, GLXY, VYGR, BNXA.
