(DISCLAIMER - This is not financial advice; this post is for entertainment purposes only.)
Don't think I can mince words here - last week was a terrible week to be in bitcoin stocks. Only one bitcoin stock in my portfolio actually went up (Banxa - BNXA). Rest were all losers. Had to activate mode to save-myself. I even sold a second small portion of my best gaining stock (VYGR) after watching it drop from my high of 4289% a couple weeks ago.
I have learnt a lesson - never buy a week before bitcoin option expiry date on the fourth Friday of the month.
For the week, I bought a little Coinbase (COIN) at a relative low, dollar cost averaged into a bitcoin ETF (BTCX) and a miner (DMGI), dumped half position of another miner (GWAC) and sold some of the previously mentioned free riding VYGR.
Looking at the updated table of publicly-traded stocks with bitcoin treasuries - it is showing 54 treasuries owning 6.82% of total BTC. New addition this week appear to be Phunware with 26 BTC. Still can't get over the news that members of the Ukrainian governments hold a massive 46,351 BTC. I expected more European and Asian treasuries to be added to the table and even sovereign funds but who expected government officials?
In the meantime, here are my returns for the last twenty-three weeks based on the percentage gain/loss on the valuation tab on my discount brokerage summary page.
Enterprise
MicroStrategy (MSTR):+254.5% (Apr 23/21) +301.1% (Apr 16/21) +311.1% (Apr 9/21) +306.8% (Apr 1/21) +260.8% (Mar 26/21) +349.2% (Mar 19/21) +353.3% (Mar 12/21) +258.6% (Mar 5/21) +333.9% (Feb 26/21) +457.3% (Feb 19/21) +498.1% (Feb 12/21) +366.1% (Feb 5/21) +256.9% (Jan 29/21) +233.7% (Jan 22/21) +234.3% (Jan 15/21) +207.4% (Jan 8/21) +124.7% (Dec 31/20) +86.5% (Dec 24/20) +74.2% (Dec 18/20) +65.3 (Dec 11/20)+89.7% (Dec 4/20) +56.9% (Nov 27/20) +28.4% (Nov 20/20)
MSTR stock price fell along with everyone else last week. No new BTC purchased - their stockpile still at 91,579 BTC (worth over $4.8B).
Interesting that MSTR market cap is only $5.9B, way down from their $11B high during the internet era (which was mentioned in this Charlie Rose interview in 2000.)
Mid-week, MSTR CEO Michael Saylor debated gold promoter Frank Giustra. Most gave Saylor the win.
Tesla (TSLA):-1.1% (Apr 23/21) +0.6% (Apr 16/21) -7.8% (Apr 9/21) -9.8% (Apr 1/21) -15.4% (Mar 26/21) -11.0% (Mar 19/21) -12.9% (Mar 12/21) -23.8% (Mar 5/21) -13.5% (Feb 26/21)
Eight losing weeks out of nine since my Feb 26 purchase. I should top up next week.
Fintech
Square (SQ):+11.9% (Apr 23/21) +16.3% (Apr 16/21) +18.8% (Apr 9/21) +4.2% (Apr 1/21) -3.0% (Mar 26/21) +2.1% (Mar 19/21) +9.9% (Mar 12/21) -1.7% (Mar 5/21) +4.4% (Feb 26/21) +25.6% (Feb 19/21) +23.8% (Feb 12/21) +9.1% (Feb 5/21) -2.0% (Jan 29/21) +1.2% (Jan 22/21) +3.4% (Jan 15/21) +9.6% (Jan 8/21)-1.2% (Dec 31/20) +3.6% (Dec 24/20) +6.9% (Dec 18/20) -1.7% (Dec 11/20)
After adding more bitcoin ($170M) to their stash, Square's returns have been up and down (up 11.9% overall this week) since I bought SQ.
Mogo (MOGO.wt):+180.0% (Apr 23/21) +195.5% (Apr 16/21) +326.1% (Apr 9/21) +284.9% (Apr 1/21) +224.5% (Mar 26/21) +357.7% (Mar 19/21) +258.5% (Mar 12/21) +149.2% (Mar 5/21) +200.0% (Feb 26/21) +329.4% (Feb 19/21) +262.3% (Feb 12/21) +92.5% (Feb 5/21) +20.8% (Jan 29/21) +40.4% (Jan 22/21) +66.4% (Jan 15/21) +58.5% (Jan 8/21) -1.5% (Dec 31/20)
MOGO.wts were down for the week. Mogo is a Canadian fintech company with a crypto division. (The good thing is that my first $100 bitcoin purchase on the platform is now worth over $500.) Next item on the checklist is the MOGOcard, which I have applied for.
Banxa (BNXA):+160.6% (Apr 23/21) +154.4% (Apr 16/21) +197.0% (Apr 9/21)+170.9% (Apr 1/21) +148.6% (Mar 26/21) +207.8% (Mar 19/21) +108.9% (Mar 12/21) +3.0% (Mar 5/21) +5.5% (Feb 26/21)
Self-described as the Paypal of crypto, Banxa is a name I have encountered before. While trying to make a deposit on Binance, I remember Banxa was one of 2 names involved in their payment processing, the other being Simplex.
BNXA shares were the only shares that went up on the week.
Any time I hear about M&A in crypto, this is one name I often think of. They can be bought out by either the newer crypto exchanges or the traditional finance entities looking for a crypto foothold.
Bitcoin Miners
Bitfarms (BITF):+825.6% (Apr 23/21) +960.2% (Apr 16/21) +1227.3% (Apr 9/21) +1194.2% (Apr 1/21) +1204.5% (Mar 26/21) +1281.1% (Mar 19/21) +1212.8% (Mar 12/21) +1055.4% (Mar 5/21) +1121.7% (Feb 26/21) +1542% (Feb 19/21) +804.9% (Feb 12/21) +676.5% (Feb 5/21) +573.0% (Jan 29/21) +537% (Jan 22/21) +786.0% (Jan 15/21) +717.9% (Jan 8/21) +415.6% (Dec 31/20) +334.8% (Dec 24/20)+175.4% (Dec 18/20) +32.5% (Dec 11/20) +49.1% (Dec 4/20) +49.1% (Nov 27/20) +42.9% (Nov 20/20)
Hut 8 Mining (HUT.wt):+1679.2% (Apr 23/21) +2100.5% (Apr 16/21) +2427.8% (Apr 9/21) +2875.4% (Apr 1/21) +2578.3%% (Mar 26/21) +3172.6% (Mar 19/21) +3037.2% (Mar 12/21) +2570.7% (Mar 5/21) +2980.8% (Feb 26/21) +3240.4% (Feb 19/21) +2552% (Feb 12/21) +1352% (Feb 5/21) +1145.1% (Jan 29/21) +1258% (Jan 22/21) +1660.5% (Jan 15/21) +2243.6% (Jan 8/21) +524.5% (Dec 31/20) +411.6% (Dec 24/20) +249.8% (Dec 18/20) +39.2% (Dec 11/20) +50.5% (Dec 4/20) -4.1% (Nov 27/20) -6.0% (Nov 20/20)
Hive Blockchain (HIVE): +326.4% (Apr 23/21) +426.1% (Apr 16/21) +501.8% (Apr 9/21) +494.6% (Apr 1/21) +397.3% (Mar 26/21) +462.2% (Mar 19/21) +482.6% (Mar 12/21) +432.1% (Mar 5/21) +476.6% (Feb 26/21) +710.8% (Feb 19/21) +376.9% (Feb 12/21) +233.9% (Feb 5/21) +190.7% (Jan 29/21) +208.7% (Jan 22/21) +241.1% (Jan 15/21) +302.4% (Jan 8/21) +187.1% (Dec 31/20) +154.7% (Dec 24/20) +201.5% (Dec 18/20) +55.0% (Dec 11/20) +49.0% (Dec 4/20) +16.0% (Nov 27/20)
Cypherpunk Holdings (HODL): +19.4% (Apr 23/21) +50.7% (Apr 16/21) +39.3% (Apr 9/21) +56.4% (Apr 1/21) +64.9% (Mar 26/21) +121.8% (Mar 19/21) +84.8% (Mar 12/21) +79.2% (Mar 5/21) +93.4% (Feb 26/21) +93.4% (Feb 19/21) +90.5% (Feb 12/21) +62.1% (Feb 5/21) +19.4% (Jan 29/21) +22.3% (Jan 22/21) +45.0% (Jan 15/21) +76.3% (Jan 8/21) +19.8 %(Dec 31/20) +10.1% (Dec 24/20) +0.4% (Dec 18/20) -2.8% (Dec 11/20)
Fortress Blockchain (FORT):+113.9% (Apr 23/21) +171.9% (Apr 16/21) +189.7% (Apr 9/21) +194.1% (Apr 1/21) +189.7% (Mar 26/21) +229.8% (Mar 19/21) +203.1% (Mar 12/21) +176.3% (Mar 5/21) +171.9% (Feb 26/21) +136.2% (Feb 19/21) +27.0% (Feb 12/21) -4.2% (Feb 5/21) -10.9% (Jan 29/21) -1.9% (Jan 22/21)
Marathon (MARA):+30.5% (Apr 23/21) +57.7% (Apr 16/21) +98.9% (Apr 9/21) +98.5% (Apr 1/21) +47.0% (Mar 26/21) +74.4% (Mar 19/21) +64.4% (Mar 12/21) +23.2% (Mar 5/21) +24.3% (Feb 26/21) +77.0% (Feb 19/21) +58.3% (Feb 12/21) -6.8% (Feb 5/21)
Riot Blockchain (RIOT): +61.8% (Apr 23/21)+88.2% (Apr 16/21) +109.6% (Apr 9/21) +120.1% (Apr 1/21) +104.4% (Mar 26/21) +155.7% (Mar 19/21) +104.1% (Mar 12/21) +72.0% (Mar 5/21) +87.7% (Feb 26/21) +203.6% (Feb 19/21) +111.1% (Feb 12/21) +0.6% (Feb 5/21)
Mechanical Technology (MKTY):+58.8% (Apr 23/21) +88.9% (Apr 16/21) +70.4% (Apr 9/21) +124.4% (Apr 1/21) +150.1% (Mar 26/21) +102.5% (Mar 19/21) +52.9% (Mar 12/21) +25.9% (Mar 5/21) +37.6% (Feb 26/21) +122.7% (Feb 19/21) +69.9% (Feb 12/21)
Good Works Acquisition Corp (GWAC): -15.9% (Apr 23/21) -14.8% (Apr 16/21) -12.9% (Apr 9/21) -10.7% (Apr 1/21) -10.0% (Mar 26/21) -6.9% (Mar 19/21) +0.1% (Mar 12/21)
DMG Blockchain (DMGI):-28.0% (Apr 23/21) -30.5% (Apr 16/21) -14.7% (Apr 9/21) +0.3% (Apr 1/21)
Another down week for the miners.
I dumped half my position in GWAC as my purchase of the Good Works SPAC still has not worked out but three facts remain - 1) GWAC will merge with Cipher Mining, a subsidiary in the BitFury Group; 2) BitFury holds several million shares of Hut 8; 3) Chairman of Hut 8 Bill Tai was an early investor in BitFury. Could BitFury take a run at Hut 8? and will this be the one that starts a M&A spree?
At some point there has to be some M&A action in the miner space. You can build an arms race for only so long. Either miners merge with each other or a larger entity like a Galaxy (which has started a mining operation) or a SPAC takes them out.
Having said that, I have tightened up on my miners. as I have way too many, especially the latterly ones, which I have been buying at higher prices. This space is extremely competitive and I might trim some more positions.
Crypto Trading Platforms
Voyager Digital (VYGR):+2858.6% (Apr 23/21) +3282.3% (Apr 16/21) +4178.6% (Apr 9/21) +4289.1% (Apr 1/21) +3609.8% (Mar 26/21) +3805% (Mar 19/21) +2570.9% (Mar 12/21) +2092% (Mar 5/21) +2348.8% (Feb 26/21) +2327.0% (Feb 9/21) +2158.8% (Feb 12/21) +2018.8% (Feb 5/21) +922.1% (Jan 29/21) +766.8% (Jan 22/21) +874.6% (Jan 15/21) +648.6% (Jan 8/21) +534.4% (Dec 31/20) +441.9% (Dec 24/20) +366.1% (Dec 18/20) +181.2% (Dec 11/20) +129.9% (Dec 4/20) +99.0% (Nov 27/20) +40.0% (Nov 20/20)
VYGR has been dropping since April 1 but it's still up a stellar 2858% gain since the November 20, 2020 week. Previous week I took out my original cost and this past week, I panicked and sold another 100 shares so I could experience a 2900% gain at least.
Less good news but there's still some positives for the company - a revised loyalty program, network effects. (VYGR's market cap is $3.24B CAD vs pre-IPO USD valuations of Robin Hood ($40B ), eToro ($10B) and Coinbase's $58.01B
BIGG Digital Assets (BIGG): +347.1% (Apr 23/21) +583.5% (Apr 16/21) +497.9% (Apr 9/21) +292.3% (Apr 1/21) +235.8% (Mar 26/21) +263.2% (Mar 19/21) +179.2% (Mar 12/21) +165.5% (Mar 5/21) +100.4% (Feb 26/21) +109.0% (Feb 19/21) +61.0% (Feb 12/21) +69.0% (Feb 5/21) +22.8% (Jan 29/21) +17.5% (Jan 22/21) +32.0% (Jan 15/21) +53.1% (Jan 8/21) +32.0% (Dec 31/20) +24.1% (Dec 24/20) +21.4% (Dec 18/20) -12.9% (Dec 11/20)
A decent price drop after four solid weeks for BIGG as investors have been unlocking the value from BIGG's subsidiaries - one being Netcoins.ca, a Canadian crypto exchange where I have signed up and hope to trade on. I cannot wait for the Voyager app anymore. Previously I did buy more BIGG shares after watching their presentation with Adelaide Capital.
I also like their Qlue product offering - comparable to product at Chainalysis, which has now privately raised another $100M and has a $2B valuation.
Diversified Crypto
Galaxy Digital (GLXY): +183.2% (Apr 23/21) +194.4% (Apr 16/21) +185.3% (Apr 9/21) +118.2% (Apr 1/21) +77.0% (Mar 26/21) +142.7% (Mar 19/21) +54.3% (Mar 12/21) +49.9% (Mar 5/21) +44.7% (Feb 26/21) +99.3% (Feb 19/21) +136.3% (Feb 12/21) +67.1% (Feb 5/21) +13.8% (Jan 29/21) +18.8% (Jan 22/21) +29.9% (Jan 15/21) +37.6% (Jan 8/21) +34.5% (Dec 31/20) +15.3% (Dec 24/20) +20.0% (Dec 18/20) -10.5% (Dec 11/20) -9.9% (Dec 4/20) -10.8% (Nov 27/20) -6.6% (Nov 20/20)
Another solid month of increasing prices with a slight hiccup last week, this one is a keeper what with the planned US up-listing in the second half of 2021. Things are looking up. Their market cap is still only $3.24 B CAD. It's very obvious they will need to be on a bigger exchange.
I'm of the opinion that GLXY should have a market cap above VYGR ($3.24 B), which is slowly happening as the market cap of both are now the same at $3.24B this week.
I re-watched the MicroStrategy summit video, where Galaxy's presentation revealed that they should be a major beneficiary of the MSTR event as they pitched their 'white glove' services to 8000 executives. They are involved in direct investments in 90 start-up ventures, a trading desk, derivatives, investment banking, asset management and a $300M fund investing in the virtual space (ie. NFTs, virtual worlds). The value of these various divisions are slowly beginning to unlock.
Bitcoin Funds (Closed-end)
3iQ The Bitcoin Fund (QBTC): +122.8% (Apr 23/21) +169.7% (Apr 16/21) +158.3% (Apr 9/21) +159.3% (Apr 1/21) +134.4% (Mar 26/21) +154.3% (Mar 19/21) +145.2% (Mar 12/21)+111.4% (Mar 5/21) +100.1% (Feb 26/21) +124.2% (Feb 19/21) +120.1% (Feb 12/21) +78.0% (Feb 5/21) +59.6% (Jan 29/21) +57.4% (Jan 22/21) +80.2% (Jan 15/21) +109.9% (Jan 8/21) +54.5% (Dec 31/20) +24.7% (Dec 24/20) +21.7% (Dec 18/20) -16.8% (Dec 11/20) -10.1% (Dec 4/20) -15.0% (Nov 27/20) -5.1% (Nov 20/20)
3iQ is about to introduce a BTC ETF, the fourth in Canada. My question would be - do I get out at 122% gain or leave it alone and wait for the conversion to an ETF?
Exchange traded funds - ETF
Purpose Bitcoin ETF - (BTCC): +8.1% (Apr 23/21) +30.9% (Apr 16/21) +24.1% (Apr 9/21) +25.0% (Apr 1/21) +14.4% (Mar 26/21) +25.3% (Mar 19/21) +20.5% (Mar 12/21) +4.7% (Mar 5/21)+0.6% (Feb 26/21)
Evolve Bitcoin ETF - (EBIT): +5.6% (Apr 23/21) +28.8% (Apr 16/21) +21.6% (Apr 9/21) +23.4% (Apr 1/21) +13.1% (Mar 26/21) +23.1% (Mar 19/21) +18.3% (Mar 12/21) +4.2% (Mar 5/21) -0.1% (Feb 26/21)
CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETF - (BTCX): -7.6% (Apr 23/21) +3.1% (Apr 16/21) -2.6% (Apr 9/21) -1.3% (Apr 1/21) -9.4% (Mar 26/21) -1.5% (Mar 19/21)
Meanwhile, the prices of all three Canadian ETFs dropped while awaiting their fourth rival. So far, BTCC, the world's first BTC ETF, has consistently eked out a small lead despite their rivals EBIT and BTCX having lower management fees.
I did dollar cost average into BTCX last week.
Market Cap comparisons over the last 4 weeks -
BTCC $113.05 M $129.12 M $100.12 M $92.87 M
EBIT $66.96 M $83.87 M $75.01 M $71.10 M
BTCX $61.71 M $59.19 M $46.38 M $42.51 M
Still looks like first mover advantage despite fee differences.
Actual Bitcoin
BTC purchased off Coinbase at $50/week: +166.7% (Apr 23/21) +187.5% (Apr 16/21) +215.1% (Apr 9/21) +216.4% (Apr 1/21) +202.2% (Mar 26/21) +220.7% (Mar 19/21) +248.7% (Mar 12/21) +196.7% (Mar 5/21) +165.8% (Feb 26/21) +241.5% (Feb 19/21) +183.7% (Feb 12/21) +146.1% (Feb 5/21) +119.2% (Jan 29/21) +121.7% (Jan 22/21) +159.1% (Jan 15/21) +177.5% (Jan 8/21) +114.1% (Dec 31/20) +79.7% (Dec 24/20) +76.0% (Dec 18/20) +44.8% (Dec 11/20) +52.7% (Dec 4/20) +49.3% (Nov 27/20)+59.7% (Nov 20/20) (using https://www.bitcoindollarcostaverage.com/)
Conclusion:
Price drops all around but portfolio is still up by a fair bit.
One always needs to keep an eye on two directions - the possibilities of a BTC super cycle and a giant crash in the near future.
My long term holds - all the ETFs, GLXY, VYGR, BNXA.
OK, will look into the atomic wallet.