The Flow by David Cowamen: The Book That Predicted the 2012 Pandemic!

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Avatar for Hanane34
4 years ago

Many literary and dramatic works predicted the Corona disaster, we dealt with it superficially and did not focus on its details until after they realistically shocked us

“There is a much darker story that remains to be told, and it is probably not about this virus (SARS) but about another virus, when (the next big epidemic) comes, we can guess that it will follow the same opposite pattern, and the high capacity for infection precedes the symptoms. Note, this will help him to move through cities and airports as an angel of death. ”

This quote from the book “Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic” written by David Quamen in (2012), that is, eight years before the Corona virus - coming from China - occupied the world.

That is when he was talking about the SARS virus that emerged in (2003 AD) in Hong Kong, China, and it was at that time the great event that he talks about. Most of the difference is that SARS symptoms are compatible with the disease, in contrast to what is happening with the new Corona (COVID-19) China in that the infection is spreading. Before the symptoms appear, the robe of death is dressed like an angel among everything.

In Cowamen's book “The Flux” explains the relationship between animals and humans in its direct form about the occurrence of pandemics through infectious animal diseases, the author limps in defining the term ecological, which is according to the definition of the World Health Organization WHO: The physical and biological elements combined in an environment are organisms that form the set of relationships The complex, which interacts with its physical environment, this definition that shows the relationship between animals, humans and nature alike in the natural environment.

You may ask, dear reader, about the relationship of animals and humans and about the meaning of the existence of pandemics that cause human genocide. Potentials indicated for this in the term "Zoonosis", which is defined as: an animal infection transmitted by humans, and examples of this are multiple, such as the Ebola virus, for example, or even in bacteria with an infection Mean.

Seven decades ago, animal diseases began to spread and expand to constitute (60%) of the infectious diseases that afflict humans, which makes us believe more in the importance of communication between creatures (animal and human) and it is the same thing that brings to mind the interpretation of the Darwinian theory that there is an eternal nature. Similarity in kind and fate between (human / animal).

The Hendra virus, which spread in Australia in (1994 AD) through horses, which was later called these horses (the virus amplified organisms), that is, in which the virus multiplies and divides in it and gets used to its new environment in the cells of the horses, then it is transmitted to humans, which was termed later this transmission to be called (By flood) that is, from horses towards humans, which has caused a series of investigations and the desire to uncover the truth of the spread of such a virus, which ultimately led to the detection of the animal that was the beginning of the Hendra virus (bat) and which is also termed as (the reservoir organism of the virus).

This example of the disease in which Kawamen began his book to be the clearest example of the organisms (reservoir / amplified) of viruses and then the occurrence of overflow and infection is what explains the rest of the spread of diseases such as (malaria, Ebola, AIDS, SARS ... etc.) but because the rest did not reveal all its secrets Like the Ebola virus, it remained a place of confusion and strangeness, which calls for many studies and efforts to uncover the virus that raised alarm alerts all over the world and which made its victims about (10) thousand corpses infected with suspicious Ebola.

Humans are the first culprits in these pandemics because it violated the ecological system, in that it is the latest disturbance in the globe by changing the forest system by cutting down trees, paving highways, creating fires, establishing colonies, and consuming large amounts of nutrition by eating bushmeat. All these things called viruses in all their forms. To find new habitats that multiply and divide in them, through their movement from animals that are close to annihilation as a result of human abuse towards man himself to kill him, too, to be the new being (the treasurer).

The term "Zoonosis" that we touched upon in advance may not have a prior way of dealing with it, but in the (21st) century this term will become more permeable in our public life and it may become our main concern. There are (7) billion human populations that abuse the ecosystem in a direct way. Or indirectly, and they are the ones who must bear the consequences of their actions, starting with governments and ending with the human beings themselves.

The book, written by Kwamen in two parts, is an entertaining book that does not invite suspicion and panic, but rather the scientific understanding of the emergence of these diseases and the knowledge of how to deal with them in responding intelligently to everything that is coming. As for Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft, after he and his wife gave up his work at Microsoft, he moved towards charitable work around the world, with the beginning of the spread of Corona disease, his speech on the TedX platform five years ago was one of the most popular clips in the world because he was warning of the danger Terrifying in the World (2015 AD) lurks for humans.

The title of his lecture (The Coming Pandemic, We Are Not Ready) Bell asserted that the next event is not a nuclear war, but rather in a small organism called (a virus), after which there may be victims in the coming decades because of that virus, an estimated (10) million victims, so that our war is not in the giant missiles. It's in small microbes.

The reason we are not ready for the next infection is our extravagant spending on nuclear weapons and their development methods, but spending on microbes is few and very few, and it is the reason that we are not ready for the next global war against (microbe) with its two types, virus and bacteria.

Few studies, research and people have dealt with the mysterious Ebola virus in Africa, which is imprecise, in large pandemics we need hundreds or even thousands of volunteers working to uncover the mystery of such a virus and what will follow from the next pandemics. Bill Gates criticizes the World Health Organization for only monitoring and not seriously and explicitly interfering.

In the world (1918 AD), the numbers of people who died from the Spanish fever (30) million people, while because we were lucky enough, the number of deaths that causes the Ebola virus is (10) thousand people. .

Bill Gates suggests a number of proactive and preparatory ways to confront this virus, through:

A strong health system, especially in poor countries, in providing vaccines and equipment.

Trained medical teams with expert managers.

Merging both (military / medicine) into one system for rapid logistical move between troubled places with infection.

Knowing the bacterial flaw by making a realistic simulation of the disease.

Doing a lot of research and studies in each of (vaccines, diagnosis) and methods of developing them.

About the cost of all this, an exact figure is unknown, but it will inevitably be very modest in return for the potential damages, which may be estimated at 30 billion dollars, Bill Gates stresses at the end of his lecture that time is not in our interest at all and that we have to move quickly and that in the year 2015 AD This is to be ready for the next infection.

All these warnings were not met with much seriousness. Rather, they may have been a source of ridicule and belittlement, so that the Corona disease (COVID-19) would come later to achieve all visions of being the ghost and angel of death between cities and airports, to kill whoever kills and infects those who infect.

In light of all these tumultuous events, there is a group that believes and even asserts the occurrence of a large conspiracy against the emergence of the emerging virus (COVID-19) in an episode of Dr. Muhammad Qasim in the (Saywer) programs on the podcast platform. He had hosted Dr. Muhammad Al-Hajji, who holds a doctorate in behavioral and social sciences. For Public Health in an episode titled "Why Do People Believe in a Conspiracy Theory?"

The conspiracy, as Al-Hajji defined it, is“an interpretation of important events as the result of secret plans and coordination of influential groups.” For the plot, as it is called, to be a conspiracy, it must arise from sovereign groups such as (governments, banks, companies) and have its characteristics (wrong, dangerous, and not based On reliable evidence).

Classifications of people in conspiracy theory towards several sections:

A- Cognitive motives: a person hates randomness and ambiguity, he loves to find solutions and reasons, because ignorance is always the enemy of man. Those who believe in conspiracy are most likely to have less luck at the educational level.

B - existential motives: Because a person likes to control his fears and not make them in the cloak of the unknown, he loves to refer the plot in its place and sit in the circle of safety.

C - Social motives: which comes from peer pressure, parties and political blocs, such as the desire to win the elections. At, during and after the end of any vote there is a major weaving of the conspiracy theory for whoever won and lost.

The conspiracy theory, one of its main problems, is its poisoning and skepticism of the well of knowledge from major and official sources such as the World Health Organization, and the denial of scientists and specialists, the conspiracy mentality constitutes a great life disaster in ignoring advice and not relying on it not only in (COVID-19) but even in old viruses. Like acquired immunodeficiency disease AIDS.

When asked about solutions in conspiracy theories, Dr. Al-Hajji referred to two methods:

1- Institutional work: By preemptively striking expectations, in order to fill the void and not have a gap for skepticism, and to weave a new line of conspiracy, he adds that governments must appoint individuals with high reliability in society such as (a religious scholar, a specialist scientist, an efficient person) that is important to be of qualities. Do not represent the government, with this step the ability and reliability of them is higher than that of the government itself.

2- Individual action: After listing the arguments and proofs, placing control in the mind of the recipient and encouraging him to be rational and able to know the error from the other and his ability to correctly judge things will let him be convinced of the facts in the end.

The strange question is why has the COVID-19 virus not brought us into one boat, the whole of humanity?

Al-Hajji answers that the virus in its origin is characterized by ambiguity and lack of clarity. If it were compared to a flood or earthquake, the united hands would have been more cooperative, so because the ambiguity, the master of the site, you find a member of the same house may not follow the correct steps in avoiding the virus by putting precautions but rather strikes against the wall and practiced his life in a way natural.

Common and infectious animal diseases sounded their alarm bells with the Ebola virus, but we really were not ready for the Corona virus, which made us a different life than its predecessor in various fields, what about the infection with a potentially overwhelming effect next time, will we be more serious and ready to work against it? This is the real question that concerns the life of humanity and animals alike .

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