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We all know what the powder keg means. We've seen it many times in the past and as history repeats itself, we will see it again in the future. What I mean by this is that Iraq can be the powder keg of the Middle East, as long as both Iran and the United States are fighting through this proxy. Iraq became again a proxy and the entire confrontation became a proxy war. We've seen it many times, especially during the Cold War, where the US never fought directly with the Soviet Union. They only fought through proxies: Afghanistan, Iraq, Vietnam, Lebanon and many others.
2019 and 2020 were characterized by many escalations between the US and Iran, on the Iraqi territory. The US embassy in Baghdad has been bombed many times in the last two years. The recent attack, that happened this Sunday represented the last such attack. Still President Trump stated that Iran is responsible and he threatened the Tehran regime with new sanctions. He gathered his top advisors in order to see what response should the US give back to Iran. The US strategy is to deter any Iranian further attacks against American interests abroad.
Basically, the pro-Iranian militias from Iraq launched several rockets on the US embassy. Donald Trump said that in case Americans die in such attacks, the US will use the military force against Iran.
The United States President Donald Trump has blamed Iran for a rocket attack on the US embassy in Baghdad and threatened a military response if any Americans are killed.
After the attack a "Twitter game" has started between Donald Trump and the Iranian foreign minister. While the first threatened Iran with a possible military invasion
As a response, the Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, posted the following tweet, which is more than representing:
After this game ended, diplomacy took its turn. The Iranian side accused Donald Trump of making the same accusations, again and again and Trump's claims "fall under the umbrella of repetitive, baseless and fabricated allegations". Moreover, the Iranian side states, as the above tweet clearly shows, that Trump is trying to divert the attention of the American people and to stop focusing on him, because he is in a very difficult situation.
Furthermore, Tehran claimed that attacks against diplomatic and residential areas are not permitted. Thus, Iran has nothing to do with what happened in Baghdad. They continue to accuse the US by saying that Washington only wants to destabilize the region for its own benefits.
In a funny way, an Iranian official even recommended Donald Trump to make use of a more plausible scenario next time when he wants to accuse Iran of something bad.
** Drawing a line here before continuing, we've all seen this. If this was the first time when happens, then we were entitled to believe that the situation is really explosive. As long as this exchange of tweets happened already for so many times, I believe that this is part of the game. It's a role that both sides have to play, of course, for achieving something in the end, indeed. It's funny to watch some very powerful politicians how they exchange tweets full with threats and accusations.
What actually happened in the last years with Iraq is that this country became a battleground between the Americans and Iranians. Iraq harbors many Iranian backed militias. These forces control in some part the country and most of the core of its political command. Due to this, Washington seems to be afraid of the power than Iran has over Iraq. Moreover, on the 3rd of January 2021, it's one year since General Qassem Soleimani, has been killed by the US, in an air-strike near that happened in Baghdad, near the Airport. Now a good question is on everybody lips: how will Iran respond to this?