Euro 2020 Saturday 1/8 Finals Previews

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Avatar for Costanza
3 years ago

I am following the European Football Championship making previews on all matches while having some fun betting small stakes.

Sportmarket Pro

8 more matches in the next 4 days with the interesting 8th Finals that will be played. The plan is to continue in a similar way making previews while trying to find some bets worth taking keeping stakes small overall. I made a small loss in the last day of the group stake with the pre-game trading position on Slovakia not being any good.

Day #13 Bets

Total Day 13 Results 3 Bets | 2W-1L-0P | Staked 0.16 Units | -0.02 Units Loss

Total Starting Bankroll at risk = 2 Units

  • Full Flat Stake being 0.2 Units

  • Medium Stake 0.15 Units

  • Small Stake 0.10 Units

  • Tiny Stake 0.05 Units


Historical Statistics

I took a closer look at previous results in big tournaments in the round after the group stage just as a way to get a main reference for where lines and potential value might be.

In the last 5 European Championships there were 24 matches at this stage:

  • 7 out of 24 Ended in a draw with extra time (29%), all but one had odds below 3.45 (29% based on 7/24)

  • 10 out of 24 went over 2.5 goals over 90 minutes (equals 2.40 odds for break-even bets on over 2.5)

  • 4 out of 24 matches ended in a big outright upset after 90 minutes (4.75 / 9.80 / 5.30 / 8.50 odds) which would have provided really good profit when blindly betting big underdogs.

Even though the sample size is too small to go by, it still shows anyone can win and the low total lines are likely justified.


 

 


Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel My Bankroll on this tournament is only 2 units with full stake bets being 0.2 units. I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

Euro 2020 Betting Results

Day 13 Results 03 Bets | 2W-1L-0P | Staked 0.16 Units | -0.020 Units Loss..
Day 12 Results 04 Bets | 2W-2L-0P | Staked 0.20 Units | +0.062 Units Profit
Day 11 Results 09 Bets | 3W-5L-1P | Staked 0.38 Units | -0.089 Units Loss..
Day 10 Results 04 Bets | 2W-2L-0P | Staked 0.28 Units | +0.027 Units Profit
Day 09 Results 05 Bets | 1W-3L-1P | Staked 0.38 Units | +0.019 Units Profit
Day 08 Results 05 Bets | 2W-3L-1P | Staked 0.41 Units | -0.116 Units Loss..
Day 07 Results 05 Bets | 2W-2L-1P | Staked 0.38 Units | +0.165 Units Profit
Day 06 Results 10 Bets | 5W-5L-0P | Staked 0.74 Units | +0.241 Units Profit
Day 05 Results 04 Bets | 2W-1L-1P | Staked 0.25 Units | +0.099 Units Profit
Day 04 Results 08 Bets | 5W-3L-0P | Staked 0.43 Units | +0.155 Units Profit
Day 03 Results 11 Bets | 4W-6L-1P | Staked 0.78 Units | +0.106 Units Profit
Day 02 Results 11 Bets | 4W-6L-1P | Staked 0.85 Units | +0.089 Units Profit
Day 01 Results 04 Bets | 2W-2L-0P | Staked 0.30 Units | -0.0195 Units Loss..

Total 83 Bets | 36W-41L-6P | Units Staked 5.54 | +0.712 Profit | +12.86% ROI

Crypto bookies I am personally using...

( Sportbet.one | Wagerr.com | Wink.org | Betfury.io )


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