Analysts Estimate the Duration and Climax of the Current Bitcoin Bull Run and Predict the Peak.

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7 months ago

In contrast to the US dollar, the value of bitcoin has increased significantly over the last six months, rising by more than 160%. Even with these noteworthy advances, a sizable portion of people believe that the rising trend is only getting started. However, it's still unclear when exactly this cryptocurrency bull market began.

Assessing the Market: The Difficulty of Determining the Duration of Bitcoin's Bull Run

This year, Bitcoin (BTC) has reached previously unheard-of price levels, sparking a flurry of conjecture and forecasts of all kinds. The creator of lookintobitcoin.com, Philip Swift, revealed the MVRV Z-Score of bitcoin on X on March 12, 2024. The statistic indicates that the bull market's upward momentum may be just getting started.

Swift wrote, "MVRV Z-Score is now at 2.82." "Nice framework to gauge our potential position in the bull cycle. A long way to go yet," he continued. With Bitcoin's ascent, many have made predictions, with call options aiming for the $100,000 per unit benchmark. According to Willy Woo, a onchain analyst, the present surge in bitcoin's value is only "the warm-up."

Under the handle Rekt Capital on X, the cryptocurrency trader and analyst, went further into past price movements. The expert clarified, "Historically, bitcoin peaked in its bull market 518-546 days after the halving." Nevertheless, there are indications that Bitcoin's current cycle is accelerating by about 260 days. As a result, the normal cycle length might be halved.

This means that bitcoin might reach its bull market apex 266-315 days after surpassing its previous all-time high, according to the trader's theory that the point at which a bull market peaks is when an old all-time high is reached. Rekt Capital concluded, "Bitcoin broke to new all-time highs in this cycle last week.In the event that the accelerated viewpoint is accurate, the next bull market high might happen in 266-315 days. That would be either February or December 2025.

People like Rekt Capital, Plan B, Woo, and Swift, among many others, are using indicators, pricing models, and historical patterns to predict the direction of the bull market, and the mood in the market is extremely optimistic right now. In actuality, it's still quite difficult to pinpoint the exact start and finish of this bull run, thus precise forecasts are elusive for everyone.

How do you feel about those who are attempting to determine how long the bull market will last? Please feel free to express your ideas and opinions in the space provided for comments below.