@liwi 21 February 2021 more from that month

Vitalik 除了買無損彩券也下注美國大選，賺進 56803 刀。 原文裡提到結果出爐後還有人下注對賭讓他多賺這件事，鏈聞編譯不知為何捨去了。 有人重倉在 Augur 的嗎？ 原文段落： "I decided to make an experiment on the blockchain that I helped to create: I bought $2,000 worth of NTRUMP (tokens that pay $1 if Trump loses) on Augur. Little did I know then that my position would eventually increase to $308,249, earning me a profit of over $56,803, and that I would make all of these remaining bets, against willing counterparties, after Trump had already lost the election. What would transpire over the next two months would prove to be a fascinating case study in social psychology, expertise, arbitrage, and the limits of market efficiency, with important ramifications to anyone who is deeply interested in the possibilities of economic institution design." 鏈聞編譯： 我決定在我幫助創建的區塊鏈應用上做一個實驗：我於 8 月 1 日在 Augur 上購買了價值 2000 美元的 NTRUMP （如果特朗普輸了，持有這種代幣就可以獲得 1 美元）。當時我並不知道，我的倉位最終會增加到 308249 美元，併爲我贏得超過 56803 美元的利潤。而在接下來的兩個月裏所發生的事情，被證明是一個關於社會心理學、專業知識、套利和市場效率極限的引人入勝的案例研究，其對任何對經濟制度設計的可能性有着濃厚興趣的人都有着重要的影響。 https://vitalik.ca/general/2021/02/18/election.html https://www.chainnews.com/articles/573082535116.htm #PttDigiCurrency