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Crypto insights part #1: Community growth VS transaction count

This is part 1 in the Crypto insights series analyzing Bitcoin. Below are my future writing plans: **Part 1**: Community growth VS transaction count **Part 2**: Difficulty VS hashrate **Part 3**: Tether supply correlation **Part 4**: Putting it all together The law governing real network value

Metcalfe's law states that the value of a communication network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metcalfe%27s_law Let's see if we can apply this law to cryptocurrencies, namely - Bitcoin:

One might argue, looking at the chart above, that there exists a correlation between r/bitcoin subreddit growth speed (slope of red line) and the price (blue). Even more obvious, the price of bitcoin seems to be correlated to the *number of transactions squared* (violet), especially during the last 12 months. Why? One way to look at it is the Metcalfe way mentioned above. But there is also a different explanation. By common sense, when $BTC goes up, so does the total hashing power of the network - more miners find it profitable. Conversely, when $BTC decreases in value, so does the hashing power. And because the mining difficulty is adjusted every 2 weeks, more hashing power means more produced blocks - more transactions per day. How would you interpret the above chart? Curious to know.

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