@Gianna96 30 July 2021 more from that month

I was reading "Black swan" theory for few days..So i want to share few summary of this topic. I apologize in advance for any inaccuracies in my writing. Because my opinion may be wrong. Many events in the world have happened suddenly without any prediction. These events, which have shaken the whole world in terms of scope, horror and impact, have made it possible for people to witness the turn of the long-studied history. Examples include the collapse of the mighty Soviet Union, the Arab Spring that led to the suicide of a young man, the collapse of the banking system around the world in 2006, and the coronavirus epidemic that is currently raging around the world after the Twin Towers.At present, Nasim Nicholas Taleb's 2006 theory of the Black Swan is being used to explain these events. Nicholas Taleb's argument for the naming of this theory was that the first black swan was discovered by humans in the post-Australian period. According to him, just as people never saw a black swan before the discovery of Australia and never thought of its existence, so in the future there may be things in the world that people have not been able to think of yet. Even if an expert describes that unpredictable event, he or she does so based on the experience or perception gained after a similar event has occurred. When an event really happens that can't even be imagined, it can't really be explained without the knowledge gained as a witness to the change in its hindsight. Through his theory, Nicholas Taleb has tried to highlight the limitations of human experience-based and observation-based knowledge only. Tried to paint a smooth combination of thought and real world. However, his book 'The Black Swan', which sheds light on this theory, later became popular and caused a huge collapse in the banking system around the world. The theory then gave rise to widespread discussion and criticism. In an interview with the New York Times at the time, Nicholas Taleb claimed that the Black Swan theory needed to be encouraged to prevent inconsistencies in our society's policies and actions. There is no substitute for getting rid of the horrible state of unconsciousness that exists today, like playing with a child's chemical kit. Again, prophecies on sensitive issues such as conflict or ethnic riots have been described in Swan theory as 'predictive distortions' and lack of human awareness. War or conflict has also been claimed as fundamentally unpredictable in this discussed theory.