Will Bitcoin crash?

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The tulip bubble will burst, the stock market bubble will burst, and the bitcoin bubble without any value base will also be difficult to escape the end of the crash. Although no one knows when bitcoin will crash, and no one knows how much its price will reach, but it can It is certain that the person who receives the high position will end up losing a lot.

Because reason will be late, but never absent.

Although the Bitcoin hype cannot be called a Ponzi scheme, it also relies heavily on the addition of new funds to drive up prices.

First, after halving the two awards, there are still more than 650,000 new bitcoins per year. At the price of 9,000 US dollars, at least 10 billion US dollars of funds are required to undertake new bitcoin in the market each year;

Secondly, every year, some former speculators will completely withdraw from the market and withdraw more funds. Even if only based on the 5% of the total market value of withdrawals each year, more than 17.8 million bitcoins now require more than 10 billion US dollars. To undertake these sell-offs, if it reaches 10%, it will take more than 25 billion, that is to say, if the annual increase of 25 to 35 billion US dollars is not allowed to enter the market, it will be difficult to maintain the price above $ 9,000 for a long time. If it rises higher, the demand for new funds will be even greater, and other cryptocurrencies will also require huge amounts of funds every year. Once the incremental funds cannot keep up, the upward trend will reverse.

In addition, the real horrible risk of the bitcoin market is a run-up in a short period of time. Although the total market value of bitcoin now exceeds 250 billion US dollars, from the analysis of daily turnover, the actual speculative funds in the bitcoin market are estimated to be even $ 50 billion is not necessarily there.

This means that the current market can only meet the cash-out of a small number of people. The bitcoin market value owned by most people is only rich on paper, and cannot be left in peace. Once there is 15-20% of stock in a short period of time When Bitcoin is sold, the market liquidity will fall into an instant, resulting in a cliff-like diving. Many situations may cause bitcoin run-ups. The biggest possibility is that in the future, Bitcoin will be thoroughly characterized as speculative by the United States or the European Union. Hype and ban trading on formal occasions.

In short, when the real crash of the bitcoin market is approaching, most people are destined to be unable to cash out of the market, so after seeing the truth of the Bitcoin scam, the sooner you leave the market, the better. Don’t imagine waiting for risks. Come and run again, because there is no time to respond at all, maybe one day when you wake up, you will find that your account has only a fraction left.

What's more, many fatal bearish news is often the first predators to know, when the small and medium speculators find out, the price may have fallen badly! Now many bitcoin speculators may have been accustomed to a new high after the plunge and never stopped losing money, but there is always a sudden plunge that you can never wait for a new high and fall into deep, deep despair.

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